MLB Betting Preview: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates – Thursday, April 11, 2019
Matchup at a Glance
When: Thursday, April 11, 2019 @ 8:05 PM EST
Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
Moneyline: Cubs -139/Pittsburgh +129
Betting Total: TBD
Joe Musgrove (1-0, 0.00 era) takes the hill for the Pirates vs Jose Quintana (0-1, 10.29 era) for the Cubs. This is the final game of a three-game series. The Cubs shutout the Bucs in the opener 10-0 with the middle game being played Wednesday night.
This game is being played at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois with the first pitch scheduled to take place at 8:05 PM EST
BetOnline has set the line for this game at Cubs -139/Pittsburgh +129 and the over/under has been set at NOT AVAILABLE YET
Pittsburgh had won four in a row and were headed to Chicago to take on the Cubs who were slumping badly to start the season, they were probably licking their chops. On Monday someone must have woke up some angry Cubs. They came out for their home opener and took it out on the Bucs to the tune of 10-0!
Pittsburgh is scoring 3.78 runs per game while the pitching staff is giving up 4.00 runs a game. Offensively they are ranked 19th. They are slightly better when it comes to allowing runs coming in ranked 14th in the league. Adam Frazier batting .324 leads the team in average and with a .410 OBP. Looking at hits with 11 is Melky Cabrera leading the way. Josh Bell is the team leader with 2 HR’s & 8 RBI’s.
Joe Musgrove will be making his 3rd appearance, one in relief and one as a starter with both games against Cincinnati. He got a hold in that relief appearance. In his only start he was solid in a 2-0 Pittsburgh win. In 7 innings he allowed 0 runs, 3 hits, struck out 8 and walked only 1.
Well, this is certainly not the start the Cubs planned on having. I even read where the Cubs have apologized to their fans for putting them through this. It did not help to have to play their first 9 games on the road. They finally got a home game Monday and took it out on the Bucs 10-0. They are hoping that will right the ship, but it may not be that easy.
The Cubs are scoring 7.20 runs per game while the pitching staff is giving up 7.10 runs a game. That 7.20 runs per game scored is great and has them ranked all the way up to 3rd. You have to wonder how their record is so bad. Oh wait……let’s talk about pitching and runs allowed where they are ranked 30th in the majors. Pretty sure that will improve.
Some of these early season stats can be misleading. Ben Zobrist leads this team with a .355 batting average and a .474 on base percentage. Their early season big man is Javier Baez. He leads in hits (12), RBI’s (9) & HR’s (4). Always nice when you can have your SS hitting that well and leading the way.
Jose Quintana, much like Musgrove got a relief appearance to start the year and picked up a hold and also got one start. The difference is he got lit up in his only start at Milwaukee 13-10. He only lasted 3 innings giving up 8 earned runs, 8 hits, struck out 3 and walk 3. Three of those eight hits were home runs. He left the game trailing 8-0.
Too much value at only -139 to pass up Cubbies at home
Starting with the pitching matchup and based on previous results one would believe Musgrove is better than Quintana. I can tell you Musgrove in not as good as his last start and Quintana is not as bad as his last start. Things have a way of evening out and I think they will at Wrigley Thursday night.
Taking a look at both offenses and I don’t even think it is close. It is one sided in favor of the home team. Unless there is a strong wind blowing straight in to neutralize those Cubs bats, Chicago should continue to score plenty. I am not passing up Chicago at these odds at home vs Pittsburgh. Cubs angry and hungry to make up for that poor start on the road.