MLB Betting Preview: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates – Saturday, July 13, 2019
Matchup at a Glance
When: Wednesday, July 13, 2019 at 2:20 PM
Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
Moneyline: Chicago Cubs -137
Betting Total: TBD
The Chicago Cubs enter this game with a record of 48-43 and have won three of their last five games including a 4-3 game one win on Friday.
The Pittsburgh Pirates enter this game with a record of 44-46 and have lost three of their last five games including a loss in game one which ended their two-game winning streak.
The Chicago Cubs are listed as -176 money line favorites over the Pittsburgh Pirates. Let’s take a closer look at these two teams and we’ll start with the underdog Pittsburgh Pirates.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are a competitive team, but they will likely finish near the bottom of the NL Central this season and are unlikely to make the playoffs this year. Pittsburgh is 44-6 overall, 22-25 on the road and 29-31 as an underdog this season.
The Pirates will send Jordan Lyles to the mound for game two of the series. Lyles is 5-5 on the season with a 4.36 ERA while striking out 78 over 74 1/3rd innings pitched. He is 1-2 in his last three starts against the Cubs while allowing an average of 2.67 runs and striking out an average of 6.67 in those games.
Josh Bell leads the team in home runs, RBIs and runs with 27 home runs, 84 RBIs and 69 runs.
Pittsburgh is averaging 4.83 runs per game which ranks 16th in the MLB. The Pirates are allowing an average of 5.26 runs per game which ranks 26th in the MLB.
The Chicago Cubs are the favorite to win the NL Central, but they are in a competitive race for the division title. Chicago is 48-43 overall, 30-16 at home and 43-27 as a favorite this season.
The Cubs will send Jon Lester to the mound for game two of the series. Lester is 8-6 on the season with a 3.72 ERA while striking out 93 over 94 1/3rd innings pitched. He is also 3-0 in his last three starts against the Pirates while not allowing a run in those games and striking out an average of 5 in those games.
Javier Baez leads the team in home runs and RBIs with 22 home runs and 62 RBIs. Kris Bryant leads the team in runs with 66.
Chicago is averaging 5.04 runs per game which ranks 11th in the MLB. The Cubs are allowing an average of 4.44 runs per game which is tied for 9th in the MLB.
Chicago Wins Game Two
The Cubs are the better team in this game and have Jon Lester on the mound who hasn’t allowed a run in his last three starts against the Pirates. Chicago is 6-4 in their last ten matchups with Pittsburgh while outscoring the Pirates by an average of 5.00 to 4.60 in those games.
The Cubs are also 2-1 in their last three meetings with the Pirates while outscoring Pittsburgh by an average of 6.67 to 4.00 in those contests. I look for those trends to continue with a Cubs win over the Pirates in game two of the series on Saturday.