MLB Betting Preview: Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians – July 11, 2018
Matchup at a Glance
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
When: Wednesday, July 11th at 7:10 PM ET
Spread: Cleveland Indians -200
Quick Pick: Cleveland Indians -200 for 2 units
BookMaker has the Cleveland Indians listed as -200 money line favorites over the Cincinnati Reds. The Cleveland Indians enter this game losers of four of their last five including a 1-2 series loss at home against the Oakland Athletics over the weekend that concluded on Sunday with a 0-6 loss.
The Cincinnati Reds enter this game winners of three of their last five including winning the first two games of this series by scores of 7-5 and 7-4. Let’s take a closer look at these two teams and we’ll start with the underdog Cincinnati Reds.
The Reds are 41-51 overall and 20-25 on the road. The Reds have rebounded somewhat since their disastrous start to the season, but are still not going to make the playoffs this season and they probably won’t make the playoffs next season either as they are still a rebuilding team. They are currently ten games below .500 and are in 5th place in the NL Central behind the Brewers, Cubs, Cardinals and Pirates and trail the division-leading Milwaukee Brewers by 13.5 games.
Cincinnati is 20-25 on the road, 20-20 after a win, 26-24 in non-divisional games and 29-45 as an underdog. Tyler Mahle will take the mound on Wednesday for the Cincinnati Reds. Mahle is 7-6 on the season with a 3.66 ERA with 97 strikeouts over 98 1/3rd innings pitched. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in home runs and RBIs with 19 home runs and 68 RBIs. Scooter Gennett leads the team in runs with 55. Cincinnati is averaging 4.71 runs per game which ranks 8th in the MLB. The Reds are allowing 5.07 runs per game which ranks 26th in the MLB.
The Indians are 49-41 overall and 28-17 at home. The Cleveland Indians will make the playoffs this year almost by default because they play in arguably the worst division in the MLB, but they don’t have enough pieces to challenge for the AL Championship let alone a World Series. They are currently eight games above .500 and lead the AL Central by 8 games over the 2nd place Minnesota Twins.
Carlos Carrasco will take the mound on Wednesday for the Cleveland Indians. Carrasco is 9-5 on the season with a 4.28 ERA with 103 strikeouts over 96 2/3rd innings pitched. Francisco Lindor leads the team in home runs and runs with 23 home runs and 79 runs. Edwin Encarnacion leads the team in RBIs with 62. Cleveland is averaging 5.00 runs per game which ranks 5th in the MLB. The Indians are allowing 4.21 runs per game which ranks 15th in the MLB.
Cleveland avoids the series sweep with a win at home
Cincinnati has a chance to sweep the Indians on the road after winning the first two games of the series, but I don’t see that happening. Cleveland may not be playing like the dominant team they have been in previous seasons, but they are still above average in terms of runs scored as well as runs allowed ranking 5th and 15th respectively. Cleveland will also be sending one of their best pitchers to the mound on Wednesday against a good, but not great pitcher in Mahle. I look for the Indians to avoid the sweep by picking up the win on Wednesday. Make sure to bet this match-up on BookMaker.