MLB Betting Preview: Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians – Tuesday, June 11, 2019
Matchup at a Glance
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
When: Tuesday, June 11, 2019 at 7:10 PM ET
Spread: Cleveland Indians -118
The Cleveland Indians enter this game with a record of 33-32 and have won three of their last five games including a 2-1 series win at home against the Yankees that concluded on Sunday with a 7-6 loss.
The Cincinnati Reds enter this game with a record of 29-35 and have lost three of their last five games including a 2-1 series loss against the Philadelphia Phillies on the road that concluded on Sunday with a 4-3 win on Sunday.
The Cleveland Indians are listed as -118 moneyline favorites over the Cincinnati Reds.
Not Quite There
The Cincinnati Reds are one of the bottom tier teams in the NL and likely won’t be a playoff contender for the next season or two but are a team on the rise, nonetheless. Cincinnati is 14-20 on the road and 14-24 as an underdog this season.
The Reds will send Luis Castillo to the mound for game one of the series. Castillo is 6-1 on the season with a 2.38 ERA while striking out 90 over 75 2/3 innings pitched. He will be facing the Indians for the first time in his career.
Derek Dietrich leads the Reds in home runs with 17. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI and runs with 41 RBI and 32 runs. Cincinnati is averaging 4.27 runs per game, which ranks 20th in MLB. The Reds are allowing an average of 3.75 runs per game, which ranks fourth in MLB.
The Cleveland Indians are coming off an impressive series win over the New York Yankees but still trail the Minnesota Twins by 10.5 games in the AL Central. Cleveland is 19-16 at home and 25-25 as a favorite this season.
The Indians will send Trevor Bauer to the mound for game one of the series. Bauer is 4-6 on the season with a 3.93 ERA while striking out 103 over 91 2/3 innings pitched. He is also 0-3 in his last three starts against the Reds while allowing an average of 2.33 runs and striking out an average of 7.67 in those games.
Carlos Santana leads the Indians in home runs, RBI and runs with 12 home runs, 40 RBI and 40 runs. Cleveland is averaging 4.17 runs per game, which ranks 24th in MLB. The Indians are allowing an average of 4.26 runs per game, which ranks eighth in MLB.
Cleveland Wins Game One
Cleveland has the better overall team compared to the Reds but is in the midst of a down season, and the Reds have the better pitcher on the mound this season. Cleveland is 6-4 in its last 10 matchups with Cincinnati while outscoring the Reds by an average of 6.80 to 4.30 in those games.
The Indians are 3-0 in their last three meetings with the Reds while outscoring Cincinnati by an average of 7.33 to 2.33 in those games. I look for those trends to continue with an Indians win at home over the Reds in game one of the series.