MLB Betting Preview: Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds – Friday, July 12, 2019
Matchup at a Glance
When: Friday, July 12, 2019 at 8:40 PM EST
Where: Coors Field in Denver, Colorado
Moneyline: Colorado -114/Cincinnati +104
Betting Total: 12½ runs
The Cincinnati Reds (41-46, 17-25 away) travel to Coors Field in Denver, Colorado to take on the Colorado Rockies (44-45, 24-19 home) in game one of a three game series to open up the second half of the major league baseball season.
Cincinnati hands the ball to Sonny Gray (5-5, 3.59 era) and Colorado will give the ball to Jon Gray (9-6, 3.92 era).
This is the first meeting of the season between these two clubs.
This game is being played at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado with the first pitch scheduled to take place at 8:40 PM EST
BetOnline has set the line for this game at Colorado -114/Cincinnati +104 and the over/under has been set at 12½ runs.
Thanks to underperforming Chicago & Milwaukee ball clubs in the NL Central, the (41-46) Cincinnati Reds are in last place, but only 4½ games out of 1st place. They are just 2 back of 4th place Pittsburgh and 2½ back of 3rd place St Louis.
Cubs lead the way with a ½ game lead over 2nd place Milwaukee. What a crazy first half it has been. Right now that division is up for grabs. I love a good underdog story! Cincinnati ended the 1st half on a 2 game losing streak. They have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games to end the 1st half as well.
Cincinnati is scoring 4.23 runs per game while giving up 3.92 runs per game. With those offensive numbers in the 1st half, we may have to refer to them as “the little red machine,” they are ranked 25th in runs scored per game. For a last place team, the pitching has been superb.
They are ranked 3rd in runs allowed and 4th in hits allowed per game in baseball. In spite of struggling to cross the plate, they have a run differential of +27 thanks to that pitching staff.
Looking at team leaders for the Reds and the numbers are low. 3B Eugenio Suarez has been the power guy with 20 home runs and 54 rbi’s. Jose Iglesias leads the team in hitting but with only a.282 batting average. Joey Votto is setting the pace with a .360 on base percent as well as hits with 80.
Sonny Gray (5-5, 3.59 era) will be making his 18th start of the season to open up the 2nd half for the Reds. He was heating up as the 1st half ended. He won his last three decisions and his team has won his last 5 starts. His last start was his longest and perhaps his best of the season.
He went 8 innings, allowing just 4 hits and 0 runs. He walked just one batter and struck out 12 Milwaukee Brewers in a 3-0 win on July 3rd. The start before that he beat the 1st place Cubs. So after knocking off the top two teams in the division he must feel pretty confident heading into the 2nd half of the season. Sonny Gray has never faced Colorado in his career.
The first half is over and the Rockies are looking to hit the reset button. Unfortunately with the Dodgers in the NL West, the only option left is a wild card. At (44-45) they are in 4th place and 14½ games back of the 1st place Dodgers. The entire division is now limited to hoping for a wild card.
One game separates 2nd & 4th place in a battle for 2nd place and a possible wild card spot. Even last place San Francisco is only 3 games behind the Rockies for 4th place. All-Star break could not come soon enough for the slumping Rockies.
They have lost their last 6 games and have only won 3 of their last 10 games. Hopefully that reset button works for them.
Colorado is scoring 5.51 runs per game while giving up 5.48 runs per game. Thanks to the Coors Field effect, both of these numbers are elevated. Offensively they are ranked 4th in runs and hits per game in baseball in the first half.
What helps that offense, hurts the pitching. They come in ranked 28th in baseball in runs allowed per game. I guess you have to take the good with the bad.
The run differential is only +2. I guess the pitching needs to catch up to the hitting a little bit.
All Star Charlie Blackmon who homered in his first all star game leads the team in hitting with a .330 batting average and on base percentage at .378. He is also tied with Nolan Arenado with 20 home runs for the team lead.
Speaking of Arenado, he is leading in rbi’s with 67 and a whopping 106 hits. Those are just team leaders, the Rocks have a few players near the top of the team leaderboard. Coors field definitely helps.
Jon Gray (9-6, 3.92 era) will be making his 19th start of the season. He has not been your typical Colorado pitcher, he is better at Coors Field. Not many people can say that. He is 4-1 with a 3.35 era at home & 5-5 with a 4.29 era away from Coors.
Go figure! His last start was a loss (on the road of course) at Arizona. He pitched 5 innings, allowing 3 runs on 8 hits in a 4-2 loss. Before that he reeled off 4 straight wins and went 5-1 in June with a 2.65 era. In his career against Cincinnati he is 4-0 with a 4.37 era.
Rockies -114 a steal at home to open up the second half of the season!!
I love a good underdog story and would it not be amazing if the last place Reds somehow won the division? I would love to see that happen. But I am not passing up Colorado at home at -114. Jon Gray has been amazing at Coors and has never lost to the light hitting Reds.
I know the Rockies ended the first half on a losing streak, but the second half is a brand new start. Almost feels like opening day to some teams. Sonny Gray is certainly pitching well, but will be making his first trip to Coors.
There have been many pitchers go into Coors and never want to go back. Don’t be shocked if he gets lit up. Even if they game lose, I would take Colorado -114 again and again in this situation. Grab Colorado before this line goes up!