MLB Betting Preview: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds – June 28, 2018
Matchup at a Glance
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
When: Thursday June 28th at 7:10 PM ET
Spread: Cincinnati Reds -115
Quick Pick: Cincinnati Reds -115 for 2 units
BookMaker has the Cincinnati Reds listed as -115 moneyline favorites against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Cincinnati Reds enter this game winners of four of their last five including a 2-1 series win on the road against the Atlanta Braves earlier in the week that concluded with a 6-5 win on Wednesday. The Milwaukee Brewers enter this game losers of three of their last five including a 1-1 series tie at home against the Kansas City Royals that concluded with a 4-5 loss on Wednesday. Let’s take a closer look at these two teams and we’ll start with the underdog Milwaukee Brewers.
The Brewers are 46-33 overall and 22-16 on the road. The Milwaukee Brewers have stumbled a little bit lately losing three of their last five including a 1-1 series tie against a lowly Kansas City Royals team. They are currently thirteen games above .500 and are in 1st place in the NL Central leading the 2nd place Chicago Cubs by 2 games. Milwaukee is 22-16 on the road, 20-12 after a loss, 17-18 in divisional games and 18-20 as an underdog. Junior Guerra will take the mound on Thursday for the Milwaukee Brewers.
Guerra is 3-5 on the season with a 2.82 ERA with 74 strikeouts over 76 2/3rd innings pitched. Jose Aguilar leads the team in home runs and RBIs with 17 home runs and 51 RBIs. Lorenzo Cain leads the team in runs with 48. Milwaukee is averaging 4.34 runs per game which ranks 19th in the MLB. The Brewers are allowing 3.66 runs per game which ranks 3rd in the MLB.
The Reds are 34-46 overall and 17-23 at home. The Reds got off to a dismal start, but in the month of June they have become one of the hotter teams in recent weeks winning their last three series against the Tigers, Cubs and most recently the Atlanta Braves. They are currently twelve games below .500 and are in 5th place in the NL Central behind the Brewers, Cubs, Cardinals and Pirates and trail the division leading Milwaukee Brewers by 12.5 games.
Cincinnati is 17-23 at home, 16-17 after a win, 12-23 in divisional games and 9-4 as a favorite. Anthony DeSclafani will take the mound on Thursday for the Cincinnati Reds. DeSclafani is 3-1 on the season with a 4.09 ERA with 18 strikeouts over 22 innings pitched. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in home runs and RBIs with 16 home runs and 58 RBIs. Scooter Gennett leads the team in runs with 44. Cincinnati is averaging 4.51 runs per game which ranks 10th in the MLB. The Reds are allowing 5.03 runs per game which ranks 24th in the MLB.
The Reds continue their hot streak with a win over the division leading Brewers
The Milwaukee Brewers have an above average pitching staff whereas the Reds have an above average run producing team. The Brewers have looked sloppy in their past few games whereas the Reds have looked above average in each of their past three series in which two game against good teams. I look for the Reds to continue their winning ways they have had in the past three series with a win in game 1 of this series. Make sure to bet this match-up on BookMaker.
Pick: Cincinnati Reds -115 for 2 units