MLB Betting Preview: Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros – Wednesday, May 15, 2019
Matchup at a Glance
Where: Comerica Park; Detroit, MI
Date & Time: Wednesday, May 15, 2019; 7:10pm ET
Point Spread: Houston Astros -340
The Houston Astros enter this game with a record of 28-15 and have won seven games in a row including the first two games of this series and are coming off an 11-4 win in game two.
The Detroit Tigers enter this game with a record of 18-22 and have lost three of their last five games and will be looking to avoid the sweep at home with a win in game three of the series.
The Houston Astros are listed as money line favorites over the Detroit Tigers.
Coming Back to Earth
The Tigers got off to a quick start winning seven of their first ten games, but they aren’t that good of a team and are far from being a playoff caliber team this season. Detroit is 9-10 at home and 11-18 as an underdog this season.
Detroit will send Gregory Soto to the mound for game three of the series. Soto is 0-1 this season with a 15.75 ERA and will be making the second start of his career on Wednesday and will have a tough matchup against the Houston Astros.
Ronny Rodriguez leads the team in home runs with five. Miguel Cabrera leads the team in RBI with 15. Nicholas Castellanos leads the team in runs with 23. Detroit is averaging 3.46 runs per game, which ranks 29th in the MLB. The Tigers are allowing 5.05 runs per game, which is tied for 24th in the MLB.
The Houston Astros are already one of the best teams in the MLB and are also one of the hottest teams in the MLB after winning seven games in a row. Houston is 12-11 on the road and 28-13 as a favorite this season.
Houston will start Justin Verlander in game three of the series. Verlander is 6-1 this season with a 2.51 ERA while striking out 68 over 57 1/3 innings pitched. He is also 1-1 in his two starts against his former team while allowing an average of 3.5 runs and striking out an average of 11 in those games.
George Springer leads the team in home runs, RBI and runs with 15 home runs, 38 RBI and 36 runs. Houston is averaging 5.45 runs per game, which ranks second in the MLB. The Astros are allowing 3.65 runs per game, which ranks third in the MLB.
Houston Completes Road Sweep
Houston has won seven games in a row and has the advantage as far as pitching goes in this matchup with Justin Verlander on the mound. Houston is arguably the best team in the MLB from a statistical standpoint ranking second in runs scored per game as well as third in runs allowed per game this season. The Tigers rank in the bottom 10 in runs scored and runs allowed this season.
The Houston Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 matchups with the Detroit Tigers while outscoring the Tigers by an average of 4.60 to 4.10 in those games. The Astros are 3-0 in their last three meetings with the Tigers while outscoring Detroit by an average of 6.00 to 3.00 in those contests. I look for those trends to continue with a Houston win and completing the three-game sweep over the Detroit Tigers on the road.
That being said, with the line being -340, you may want to completely fade this game all together as that line has grown drastically and may not be the best value.