MLB Betting Preview: Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets – Tuesday, April 9, 2019
Matchup at a Glance
When: Tuesday, April 9, 2019 @ 7:10 PM EST
Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
Moneyline: NY Mets -215/Minnesota +199
Runline: NY Mets -1½ (+100)/Minnesota +1½ (-120)
Betting Total: 6½ runs
Minnesota pitcher Kyle Gibson (0-0, 9.64 era) has his work cut out for him opposing Jacob deGrom (2-0, 0.00 era).
This will be the first of only four meetings between these two this season
This game is being played at Citi Field in Queens, New York with the first pitch scheduled to take place at 7:10 PM EST
BetOnline has set the line for this game at NY Mets -215/Minnesota +199 and the over/under has been set at 6½ runs
On Sunday Minnesota dropped a tough 2-1 decision at Philadelphia after splitting the first two games of that series. The Twins probably should have taken that series. They held the Phils to only four hits, but one of the was a 2 run homer to Rhys Hoskins late the game and that was the difference.
Minnesota is scoring 4.38 runs per game, that puts them about in the middle of the pack ranking them 14th in the league. Their pitching has been slightly better allowing 3.62 runs per game and that is good enough for a ranking of 11th in MLB.
Jorge Polanco is the team leader with a .375 average and hits with 12. Nelson Cruz is with an OBP of .480 is the team leader. Nelson Cruz also leads with 6 RBI.s. Max Kepler leads the team in home runs with 3.
Despite Gibson’s rough start, I think it may be a little misleading. He was probably the twins best pitcher last season. He got a no-decision in his first outing but started out strong.
He looked to be in control before giving up 5 runs in the 5th inning. I know he is much better than is inflated era at the moment.
New York Mets
On Sunday the Mets played host to the Washington Nationals. Matt Scherzer and the Nats won a wild 12-9 game. On the bright side despite the loss, the Mets did get to Scherzer for 8 hits, 4 earned runs in 6⅓ innings. Not too many teams have hit Scherzer that well.
The Mets are off to a strong start scoring runs. They are scoring 5.78 runs a game and that ranks them 6th in the league in scoring. Despite deGrom’s superb start, the rest of the staff is struggling.
As a team they are allowing 5.22 runs per game ranking them all the way down to 22nd in the league. Take away deGrom’s 0.00 era and that spells trouble. Pete Alonso (who?), yes Pete Alonso leads the team in OBP, RBI’s & HR’s. Unless you are a Mets fan, you probably do not know who this even is. Michael Conforto leads the team in hits with 13, while Wilson Ramos is hitting .400 to lead the team in average.
Matt Scherzer has been insane to start the season. 2-0, 0.00 era, 13 innings pitched and a whopping 24 k’s. I will leave it at that….nothing else needs to be said.
There is no way you can go against deGrom right now!
It is rare that you will find me taking a favorite of this size. When I like a favorite this size I usually play the run line to eliminate all that juice. This is one of those occasions that I am not going to do that. deGrom has been incredible, but his team has been known to not give him the best offensive support and that is part of the reason I will not lay 1½ runs.
As mentioned above I think Gibson is a much better pitcher than he showed in his first outing and is capable of limiting the Mets scoring. The total of 6½ tells you runs may be at a premium as well. I would love to take the runline at +100, but I know if I do the Mets will win a one run game, and that will tick me off. I do not expect a shutout, but you do have to wonder how Minnesota is going to score with deGrom’s current form. Take the NY Mets -215