MLB Betting Preview: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays – Saturday, July 13, 2019

by Jul 12, 2019Baseball

Matchup at a Glance

When: Saturday, July 13, 2019 at 1:05 PM EST

Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York

Moneyline:  NY Yankees -285/Toronto +255

Betting Total: 11½ runs

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**Does not include yesterday’s results**

In an AL East matchup, the Toronto Blue Jays (34-57, 16-27 away) travel to Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York to take on the NY Yankees (57-31, 31-14 home) in the middle game of a three game series to open up the 2nd half of the season.  

In a battle of lefthanders, Clayton Richard (1-5, 6.23 era) will pitch for Toronto and he will oppose J.A. Happ (7-4, 5.02 era) for the home town Yankees.  

Toronto won the first two games vs the Yanks this season, but New York took the next four to take a 4-2 series lead.  Toronto has played them tough losing some close ball games in those four losses.

Game Location

1:05 PM EST Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York with the first pitch scheduled to take place at 1:05 PM EST

Betting Odds

BetOnline has set the line for this game at NY Yankees -285/Toronto +255 and the over/under has been set at 11½ runs

Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto (34-57) trails the 1st place Yankees by 24½ games, and are 17½ games back of a wild card spot.  They are basically playing the second half as a spoiler and for the future. When the 1st half ended they were on a one game winning streak and had gone 5-5 in their last 10 games.

Toronto is scoring 4.32 runs per game while giving up 5.24 runs per game.  The offense has struggled to score runs this season. They are ranked 24th in runs per game and only 29th in hits per game. 

The pitching has not helped the cause either. They are ranked 25th in baseball in runs allowed per game. Those numbers pretty much tell you why they are no longer in the playoff chase anymore.  The Blue Jays have a run differential of -84 this season.

Looking at some offensive leaders, we find SS Freddy Galvis leading the way.  He is setting the pace with a .270 batting average, 89 hits & 44 rbi’s.  Justin Smoak with a .358 on base percentage is the best at getting on base, while Lourdes Gurriel with 16 dingers is the HR leader.  

Clayton Richard (1-5, 6.23 era) is not having a good season.  This might sound odd, when it comes to starting pitchers I look to look at fantasy baseball.  Richard is owned in 3% of leagues, that says it all. In his last start he went 6 innings, allowed 6 runs on 7 hits, in an 8-1 loss the the Baltimore Orioles of all teams.  

He has faced the Yanks twice this season. He is 0-1 with a no decision. Both games were 4-3 scores. He pitched 10⅔ innings, allowed 5 runs on 12 hits, with 4 walks & 5 strikeouts.  I guess that is not horrible when facing the mighty Yankees. For his career he is 0-2 with a 3.63 era. Anything is possible I guess.  

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New York Yankees

The NY Yankees (57-31) are at the top of the AL East and have a 6½ game lead over 2nd place Tampa Bay and a 9 game lead over 3rd place Boston.  Forget about everybody else. Tampa has talent and you can never count out rival Boston, so New York must continue to play well. The Yanks ended the 1st half on a 2 game losing streak, but they did win 7 of their last 10 games.   

The Yankees are scoring 5.72 runs per game while giving up 4.43 runs per game.  As you would expect that offense is highly ranked coming in at #2 in runs scored per game.  While the pitching has not been great, it has been solid ranking them 8th in fewest runs allowed per game.  They have a tremendous run differential of +113 on the season.  

With the big bats often injured this season, we have some different team leaders so far this season.  DJ LeMahieu has done a great job leading the way with a .336 batting average, 113 hits & 63 rbi’s. Luke Volt has done a nice job getting on base and leads with a .393 on base percentage and Gary Sanchez has been the big bat with 24  home runs.

J.A. Happ (7-4, 5.02 era) will be making his 18th start of the year.  Happ is certainly having a fine season. He at one point reeled off six straight wins before a bad outing at Houston two starts ago where he was hit hard.  He bounced back from that start in his most recent start at Tampa Bay. Even though he got a no decision, his team got a win and he pitched well. He went 5⅓ innings, only allowed 1 run on 3 hits in a 8-4 win.  He left with a 2-1 lead but Tampa tied it before the Yanks came back to win it in 10 innings. He has never lost to the Jays going 3-0 with a 2.35 era.  

Yankees are the only way to go!

Honestly, how can you even give Toronto a chance in this game?  Yankees lost two in a row before the break and want to get that taste out of their mouths.  Total mismatch with these two starting pitchers. Happ has never lost to the Jays and it will not start now.  Sometimes it is just that simple. Grab the easy money and play the Yanks!

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