Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction – April 07, 2026
Ryan Rozycki
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Game Info
| Matchup | Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Mets |
| Date | April 07, 2026 |
| Time | 4:10 PM ET |
| Location | Citi Field (Flushing, Queens, New York) |
| How to Watch | SNY, Dbacks.TV (ARID), MLB.TV (out of market) |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Odds
| Moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks: +136 | New York Mets: -162 |
| Run Line | Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-166) | New York Mets -1.5 (+138) |
| Total | Over 7.0 (-108) | Under 7.0 (-112) |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Team Stats
| Stat | Arizona Diamondbacks | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Runs | 35 | 49 |
| Hits | 65 | 89 |
| Home Runs | 8 | 9 |
| AVG / OBP / SLG | .211 / .271 / .367 | .250 / .333 / .390 |
| Team ERA | 4.30 | 2.53 |
| Strikeouts / Walks | 67 / 32 | 92 / 34 |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Starting Pitcher Stats
| Pitcher | W-L | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | BB | HR Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 1-1 | 10.0 | 3.60 | 1.10 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Freddy Peralta (NYM) | 1-0 | 10.1 | 4.35 | 1.06 | 14 | 2 | 2 |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Recent Form and Pitching Notes
Arizona Diamondbacks (5-5): Arizona’s most recent game was a 6-5 extra-inning win over Atlanta on April 5, a gritty finish highlighted by Ketel Marte’s walk-off double in the 10th. Brandon Pfaadt worked 4.2 innings and allowed 3 earned runs, forcing the Diamondbacks into a long relief day; the bullpen covered 5.1 innings and allowed two runs (one earned) across a six-pitcher effort. Offensively, Arizona did its damage with extra-base hits, including a Corbin Carroll triple and an Ildemaro Vargas two-run triple that kept them within striking distance.
New York Mets (6-4): The Mets come in off a 5-2 road win over the Giants on April 5, breaking it open with a four-run eighth inning after trailing 2-1 late. Kodai Senga went 5.2 innings with 2 earned runs and 7 strikeouts, and the bullpen was clean and efficient: Huascar Brazobán (1.1 IP), Luke Weaver (1.0 IP), and Devin Williams (1.0 IP) combined for 3.1 scoreless innings to close it out. At the plate, Luis Torrens’ pinch-hit two-run double flipped the game, while Luis Robert Jr. delivered three hits and scored twice to set the table.
Starter form notes: Gallen’s last outing was six scoreless innings against Detroit, a reminder of how quickly he can turn a lineup into quick outs when his command is right. Peralta’s last appearance was 5.1 innings with one earned run allowed against St. Louis, and his early strikeout volume suggests his stuff is playing even if the overall line hasn’t fully settled yet.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Betting Trends
- New York Mets are 6-4 overall.
- New York Mets are 2-1 at home.
- New York Mets have won three straight games.
- Arizona Diamondbacks are 5-5 overall.
- Arizona Diamondbacks are 0-3 on the road.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Breakdown
This game sets up as a tempo battle: Arizona is far more comfortable when it can keep the inning count low and let Gallen work deep, while New York’s recent wins have shown a lineup that can stay quiet early and still produce a single, game-defining frame late. The Mets’ staff edge is real on paper so far (2.53 team ERA), and the way they’ve been able to bridge from the starter into high-leverage relief without chaos matters in a low total game.
For Arizona, the path is straightforward but demanding: Gallen needs to land ahead in counts and keep free passes down, because Citi Field games with cold, windy conditions tend to punish teams that give away baserunners more than teams that merely allow singles. On the other side, Peralta’s strikeout profile gives New York a clear way to mute Arizona’s power pockets, and if he can get through five or six with a lead, the Mets have shown they can shorten the game.
The market reflects that balance: New York deserves to be favored at home, but with a total of 7.0, the run line is asking for separation that may not be easy unless one starter loses the zone or a bullpen arm blinks at the wrong time.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Best Bet
Under 7.0 (-112) (3 out of 5 units)
With the start time moved up to avoid the worst of the evening weather and two starters who can miss bats or manage contact, this profiles like a game where scoring is earned rather than gifted. New York’s bullpen is also coming in off a short, efficient finish in its last game, which helps keep the late innings from turning into a messy run-scoring exchange.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Arizona Diamondbacks 2, New York Mets 4.
