New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction – April 02, 2026
Jake Thompson
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We may receive compensation from sportsbooks or casinos featured on this page if you register or place a wager through our links. This does not affect our evaluations or rankings. We strive to provide accurate, up-to-date information, but bonus terms, rollover requirements, and availability may change. Always review the operator’s official terms and gamble responsibly.New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants on Thursday, April 2, 2026 (9:45PM ET). Probable starters: LHP David Peterson vs LHP Robbie Ray. Moneyline: Mets -124 / Giants +106. Run line: Mets -1.5 (+140) / Giants +1.5 (-170). Total: 7.5 (Over +104 / Under -128). odds via Bookmaker Sportsbook
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Game Info
| Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Matchup | New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants |
| Date | April 2, 2026 |
| Time | 9:45PM ET (6:45PM PT) |
| Location | Oracle Park — San Francisco, California |
| How to Watch | MLB Network, SNY, NBC Sports Bay Area |
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Odds
| Market | New York Mets | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -124 | +106 |
| Run Line | -1.5 (+140) | +1.5 (-170) |
| Total (7.5) | Over +104 | Under -128 |
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Team Stats
| Team | Record | Home/Away | Runs/Game | Runs Allowed/Game | AVG | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 3-3 | 1-2 Away | 3.83 | 3.33 | .211 | 4 | 1-5 |
| San Francisco Giants | 2-4 | 0-3 Home | 2.33 | 4.17 | .201 | 3 | 1-3 |
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Starting Pitcher Stats
| Pitcher | 2026 W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K | Last Start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Peterson (NYM) — LHP | 0-0 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 5.1 | 3 | Mar 28 vs PIT: 5.1 IP, 6 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 3 K (76 pitches; 14 GB) |
| Robbie Ray (SF) — LHP | 0-1 | 3.38 | 0.94 | 5.1 | 4 | Mar 27 vs NYY: 5.1 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 0 BB, 4 K, 1 HR (89 pitches) |
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Recent Form & Pitching Notes
New York Mets (3-3): Lost their last game 2-1 in 11 innings at St. Louis on April 1. Freddy Peralta went 5.1 IP with 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 7 K (92 pitches). The bullpen covered 5.1 innings: Huascar Brazobán (0.2), Brooks Raley (1.0), Luke Weaver (1.0), Devin Williams (1.0), Tobias Myers (1.2) — it took five arms and extra-inning length. Offensively it was the Juan Soto solo HR and not much else: 5 hits, 11 LOB, 0-for-11 with RISP.
San Francisco Giants (2-4): Lost their last game 7-1 at San Diego on April 1. Adrian Houser went 5.1 IP, 3 R (1 ER), 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K (86 pitches), then the game broke open late when José Buttó faced eight batters in 0.1 IP (4 ER, 4 BB, 1 HR on 28 pitches). Caleb Kilian gave them 1.2 scoreless in the middle. Offense: 4 hits total; Harrison Bader drove in their lone run with a single, and Luis Arraez had three of the four hits.
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
- New York Mets: 1-5 O/U this season
- San Francisco Giants: 1-3 O/U this season
- San Francisco Giants: 0-3 at home this season
- New York Mets: 1-for-29 with RISP in their last series (vs STL)
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Breakdown
This total is priced like a pitcher’s duel, and the game’s been playing that way for both clubs. The Giants are last in runs per game and still haven’t shown consistent damage power (3 HR through six games). Peterson’s first outing was ground-ball heavy and clean on the scoreboard, and he’s facing a lineup that just went 4-hit quiet again on Wednesday.
On the other side, Ray’s first start was sharp on control (zero walks) and he’s in a park that helps keep mistakes from turning into crooked numbers. The Mets’ lineup is better than these early stats, but they’re cashing outs with men on and just burned five relievers plus extras on Wednesday — that’s not the setup for an aggressive, high-leverage offensive game plan late.
If you like New York, I’d rather lay the -124 than chase +140 on the -1.5 in a park where wins often come by one swing (or one run).
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Best Bet
Under 7.5 (-128) (3 out of 5 units)
Giants can’t score right now, both starters are stretched to 5+ innings already, and the Mets’ recent profile is “solo HR + stranded runners,” not sustained scoring.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of New York Mets 4, San Francisco Giants 2.
