NCAA Football Betting Preview: Navy Midshipmen vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Saturday November 18, 2017
Matchup at a Glance
Where: Notre Dame Stadium in Notre Dame, Indiana
When: Saturday November 18th at 3:30 PM ET
Spread: Notre Dame -18
Quick Pick: Notre Dame -18 for 2 units
Navy is a fun team to watch with their triple option. They were without Zach Abey this past Saturday, but were still have to win against SMU which ended their 3 game losing streak. They may be without him again this Saturday which won’t be a good thing going against Notre Dame.
Notre Dame had a letdown game against Miami on Saturday night which eliminated them from playoff contention as they were also hurt by Georgia’s loss. Notre Dame should enter this game with something to prove though and I expect them to come into this game firing on all cylinders. These two teams have played each other 88 times with Notre Dame leading the series 74-13-1. Navy did win the matchup last season. Let’s take a closer look at these two teams and we’ll start with the underdog Midshipmen.
Navy is 6-3 SU and 4-3-2 ATS. Navy started off the season at 5-0 before losing their next 3 games before bouncing back last week against SMU. Navy has one of the best rushing offenses in the country as they are heavy run oriented as they run a triple option offense. They rank 1st in college football in rushing at 369.78 yards per game and they are going against an above average run defense in Notre Dame in this game.
Zach Abey their leading rusher at 1202 and starting quarterback missed the last game and could be sidelined again this week. If he is able to play in this matchup it will be a lot closer than the spread, but I don’t expect him to play in this matchup.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame is 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS. Notre Dame looked bad on both sides of the ball against Miami after looking like a team destined for the college football playoffs for the majority of the season. They will look to bounce back against Navy at home this week to attempt to keep their hopes alive for a playoff spot, but that isn’t likely as they will need a lot of teams ahead of them to lose and not playing in a conference will hurt them as they will lack a conference championship.
Notre Dame has had one of the better defenses for most of the season, but Miami was able to exploit their run defense after running for 237 yards well above the 140.9 average they had been allowing for most of the season. Mark Rosier was looking like a Heisman candidate for most of the season, but Miami was able to shut him down Saturday, but Navy is allowing 244.33 yards per game passing, so I expect Rosier to bounce back in this matchup and he’s the main reason why I like Notre Dame in this game.
Rosier and the offense bounce back against Navy
Notre Dame looked below average on offense against Miami on Saturday, but Miami looks like the Miami of old with a dominating defense. This week they will have a much easier time going against Navy’s defense. I expect Notre Dame to move the ball at will in this matchup while shutting down Navy’s running offense without Abey. Look for Notre Dame to win by at least 24 in this matchup.
Pick: Notre Dame -18 for 2 units