NBA Betting Preview: Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers – Thursday, Jan. 10, 2019

by | Jan 9, 2019 | NBA

Matchup at a Glance

When: Thursday, January 10, 2019, at 9:00 PM EST

Where: Pepsi Center, Denver, Colorado

Point Spread: Denver -5½

Betting Total: 226 points

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The (24-16) LA Clippers travel to Pepsi Center in Denver, Colorado to take on the (27-12) Denver Nuggets.  Both teams last played on Tuesday night. The Clippers at home took care of Charlotte in easy fashion 128-109.  

They are on a three-game winning streak and have won 7 of their last 10. The Nuggets won in Miami 103-99. Denver has also won 7 of their last 10.  This is the 3rd time this season these two have met. These two split the first two games despite both being played in Los Angeles.

Game Location

This game is being played at Pepsi Center, Denver, Colorado with the tip-off scheduled to take place at 9:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

BetOnline has set the point spread for this game at Denver -5½ and the over/under has been set at 226 points.

LA Clippers

The Clippers are definitely a nice surprise this season.  They are right in the thick of things in the first half of the season.  They have a well-balanced team with a strong bench. The LA Clippers are scoring 116 ppg which ranks them 4th in the league.  

They are giving up 114 ppg which ranks them 24th in the league. They trail Golden St by 2½ games in the Pacific Division. They are also a very respectable 10-10 on the road.  Clippers have also been a moneymaker with an ATS record of 24-16. As far as totals, OVER has been money going 24-15-1.

Tobias Harris leads the team in scoring at 21.1 ppg, but Danilo Gallinari and Lou Williams are only trailing him by a couple of points. Harris is the main man for the Clips as he also is the team’s leading rebounder with 8 boards a game.  Lou Williams in addition to being the teams 3rd leading scoring tops the team in assists dishing out 4.9 a game. LA is in the top 10 in many offensive rankings.

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Denver Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets are scoring 110 ppg which ranks them 18th in the league.  They are giving up 105 ppg which ranks them 8th in the league.

The Nuggets lead the Northwest Division by 2½ games over Oklahoma City.  They are an impressive 16-3 at home. Like the Clippers, they are making some money for gamblers out there going 22-17 ATS. Nikola Jokic leads the team in scoring with 19 ppg.  

They have three others who are averaging at least 16 ppg. Jokic also is the team’s leading rebounder at 10 per game. Jokic is definitely the leader of this team. He also is the assist leader at 7.5 a game.  Denver is going for their 11th straight win at home in this one.

Trends/Stats

  • Denver is 8-2 ATS last 10 at home
  • Denver is 10-3 ATS last 13 games following an ATS win
  • Denver is 8-3 ATS last 11 playing on one days rest
  • Clippers are 6-13 ATS vs Northwest division

Home court the difference in this matchup

We have two teams who are very pleased with where they are at so far this season.  Clippers have played well on the road and are having very little problems scoring points this season.  As strong as they are on offense, the defense is probably their liability.

You cannot overlook Denver’s tremendous home court advantage this season. I think they key for them is they are allowing 9 fewer points at home vs the road.  We also have a little revenge factor. Clips blew out the Nuggets in December 132-111. Clippers recent play is why this line is low as it is.

I personally think this line should be closer to 10. I see Denver clamping down on defense and a minor slip up in LA’s offense.  Denver’s offense is not rated as high as LA’s, but it should do enough damage vs the Clippers defense. I say Denver by double digits.

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Denver Nuggets -5.5

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