NBA Playoffs Betting Preview: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Toronto Raptors – Tuesday, May 21, 2019

by | May 21, 2019 | NBA

Matchup at a Glance

When: Tuesday, May 21, 2019 at 8:30 PM EST

Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

Spread:  Milwaukee -2

Betting Total: 216 points

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The (70-24, 31-15 away) Milwaukee Bucks travel to Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario to take on the (67-30, 38-11 home) Toronto Raptors in game 4 of the best of 7 Eastern Conference Finals.  Milwaukee leads the series 2-1 with the home team winning all games so far.

Milwaukee won both regular season games in Toronto, so they believe they can come out of here with a 3-1 lead. This could easily be 3-0 already as it took two overtimes for Toronto to get their first win in this series.  

Game Location

This game is being played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario with tip-off scheduled to take place at 8:30 PM EST

Betting Odds

BetOnline has set the line for this game at Milwaukee -2 and the over/under has been set at 216 points

There is no question in my mind that Milwaukee is the better team.  After sleepwalking through most of game one before blowing them out in the 4th quarter, then following up with a solid game two showing to take a 2-0 lead, it took Toronto double overtime to cut the lead in half at 2-1 games.  

In game three, Milwaukee’s starters only made 19 of 69.  Antetokounmpo & Lopez each made 5 field goals, with no other starters making more than three shots.  You really have to wonder how this game even went to overtime with Milwaukee’s main guys having horrible nights.   

Kawhi Leonard led all scorers again with 36 points and Pascal Siakam added 25 points for Toronto and it still took two overtimes to get the win.   I feel pretty good about Milwaukee shooting better in game four.

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee is scoring 117.9 ppg while giving up 108.5 points per game.  The Bucks have the #1 ranked offense in points scored per game. They are also 4th in field goal percentage and 1st in offensive rebounding.  

On the defensive side of things, they are ranked 10th in fewest points allowed in the league.  Of course, the Bucks are led in scoring by Giannis Antetokounmpo with 26.1 points per game throughout these playoffs. Khris Middleton is 2nd in scoring with 17 ppg while five others are chipping in with double digits per game.  

Giannis Antetokounmpo is also leading the way in rebounds with 13 per game, assists with 4.8 a game.  Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way in all three categories during the regular season as well.

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Toronto Raptors

Toronto is scoring 112.9 ppg while giving up 107.1 points per game.  That offensive output is good enough for a #12 ranking in points scored per game.  They also are the 2nd best team in shooting foul shots.

Defensively Toronto is ranked 7th in fewest points allowed per game.  They are also do well defending the 3 point shot as they are 4th in the league in doing so.   So far throughout the postseason, Toronto is led in scoring by Kawhi Leonard with 32 ppg.

He has stepped up his game by nearly 6 points from the regular season.  Kawhi Leonard also is the team leader is rebounds with 8.5 per game, while the assist leader is Kyle Lowry with 6.4 dishes per game.

Keys Trends/Stats/Notes

  • Milwaukee is 6-1 SU & ATS last 7 games
  • Toronto is 1-4 ATS last 5 games
  • Toronto is 6-1 SU last 7 home games
  • Toronto is 1-4 ATS last 5 games vs Milwaukee at home
  • Milwaukee is 6-2 SU & ATS last 8 vs Toronto
  • Toronto is 4-14 SU last 18 games played in May

Milwaukee simply the better team, takes control of series!!

As mentioned above, game three was a nightmare for Milwaukee.  Extremely poor shooting game for the Bucks big scorers. Some others stepped up, but it was not enough. Toronto’s usual scorers did their part in the victory.  

If Milwaukee can play that poorly vs a Toronto team who played as well as they always do, and nearly winning losing in double overtime, then Toronto is in deep trouble, even on their home court.  You know Milwaukee will not shoot that poorly again, especially Antetokounmpo. Toronto needs to play a nearly perfect game and hope Milwaukee continues to shoot poorly if they want to tie this series.  

I don’t see either of those things happening.  Milwaukee seems to play very well after a loss as they have not lost back to games during the playoffs.  In fact they have only lost back to back game one time this entire season back in early March.

That is incredible.  Bucks will take a 3-1 lead and wrap it up on Thursday on the way to the NBA finals.  Let’s make it…….. Milwaukee 113 Toronto 104

Spooky Express Free Pick – Milwaukee Bucks- 2

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