NBA Betting Preview: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs – Thursday, Jan. 10, 2019
Matchup at a Glance
When: Thursday, Jan. 10, 2019 at 9:30 PM
Where: AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas
Point Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -1
Betting Total: 224.5
This game is being played at AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas with the tip-off scheduled to take place at 9:30 PM.
Bookmaker has set the point spread for this game at Oklahoma City Thunder -1 and betting total for over/under plays at 224.5 points.
Oklahoma City Thunder
The Oklahoma City Thunder will head out on the road for the first of a 2 game series against the San Antonio Spurs. The Thunder and the Spurs will play on Thursday Night and then against on Saturday.
The Thunder enter this game in 3rd place in the Western Conference with a 25-15 SU and 22-18 ATS record. The Thunder has gone 12-9 on the road and have played tough defense, with 22 of their first 40 games playing under the posted total.
The Thunder are ranked 7th in defense, allowing just 106.1 points per game. Paul George leads the team with 26.8 points per game and is shooting .448 from the floor.
The Thunder will be without Nerlens Noel on Thursday and there is no timetable on his return. Noel suffered a concussion in their game against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday Night in a nasty fall.
San Antonio Spurs
The San Antonio Spurs are one of the hottest teams in the NBA. They have won 8 of their last 10 games overall and enter this game in 6th place, with a 24-18 SU record. The Spurs have been a strong team for bettors to wager on due to their record of 25-16-1 ATS record.
The Spurs have normally been a defense-oriented team but this year, they are playing a majority of their games over the posted total. The Spurs have played 23 of their 41 games over the posted total.
The Spurs are led by the combination of DeMar DeRozan, LaMarcus Aldridge and Rudy Gay. DeRozan is averaging 22.6 points per game, Aldridge is averaging 20 points per game and Gay is averaging 13.6 points per game.
Thank You Oddsmakers! Play The Under!
The home team in this series has won 8 out of last 10 games between these two teams and have covered the point spread in 7 of those 10 games. That gives the edge here to the San Antonio Spurs. The advantage for the home field lies with the Spurs but I truly think there is a better way to go in this particular matchup.
The last 10 times these two teams have played each other, the total that has been set by the oddsmakers has been 208, 211, 198.5, 199.5, 207.5, 209, 210.5, 198, 198 and 199. In this game, the oddsmakers have set the line at 224.5, which is 13.5 points higher than any other game in the last 10 matchups.
When you look at those low previous point totals, in 7 of the 10 games played under the posted total. So why is the game total so high? Take a look at both of these teams. The Thunder has played under in 3 of their last 4 games and 6 of their last 10 games overall. The Spurs have played just 4 of their last 10 games under the posted total but they lost SF Rudy Gay to an injured wrist and are going to be tired due to the fact that this is the second night of a back-to-back.
The Spurs faced Memphis on Wednesday Night in Memphis and then had to fly home to San Antonio for this game. I expect we will see a very slow start for the Spurs and this game will be very low scoring. Play the game to play under the total but only after buying it up to 225!