Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks Pick – April 18, 2026
Atlanta opens the Eastern Conference first round on the road against New York on Saturday night. The Knicks earned home-court behind a 53-29 regular-season record, while the Hawks finished 46-36 and will need to win at Madison Square Garden to flip the series early.
New York is favored by 5 points with a modest total for a Hawks game, which lines up with the Knicks’ slower tempo and both teams trending slightly toward the under across the full season.
Injury availability is a major variable for Game 1, especially for New York’s frontcourt and wing rotation and for Atlanta’s backcourt.
Odds & Game Info
Odds as of 9:34 AM ET on April 13, 2026.
One quick look at the market for Hawks vs. Knicks.
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Hawks +5.0 (-110) | Knicks -5.0 (-110) | Hawks +166 | Knicks -198 | 215.5 (O -110 / U -110) |
- Tip-off: April 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
- Arena: Madison Square Garden (New York, NY)
- Rest/travel: Both teams last played April 12 and enter with five full days off; Atlanta travels to New York.
Team Snapshot
Here’s how these teams profile heading into Game 1.
| Team | Record (Home/Road) | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Hawks | 46-36 (24-17 / 22-19) | 6-4 | 44-38 | 40-42 | 116.1 | 113.5 | 101.7 |
| New York Knicks | 53-29 (30-10 / 23-19) | 6-4 | 44-39 | 39-44 | 119.6 | 113.2 | 97.2 |
Recent Form
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta went 6-4 over its last 10, with the results swinging based on opponent quality and game environment. The Hawks scored 141 in a road win at Brooklyn on April 3, but they also allowed 143 in a 143-117 road loss at Miami on April 12, a reminder of how quickly their games can speed up when transition defense slips.
This matchup is also fresh: New York won in Atlanta 108-105 on April 6 (213 total points). Atlanta’s offense did enough to hang around, but it was a thin margin game where each empty trip mattered late.
New York Knicks
New York also finished its final 10 at 6-4, and the home form stands out: the Knicks beat Boston 112-106 on April 9 and Toronto 112-95 on April 10 before a 110-96 loss to Charlotte on April 12.
The Knicks’ baseline is a slower game script, and with multiple rotation pieces currently listed out (including key frontcourt players), New York’s shot profile and half-court execution become even more central than usual.
Matchup Keys
- Tempo control: New York plays slower (97.2 pace) while Atlanta plays faster (101.7). If the Knicks keep this in the half court, the total and Atlanta’s upset path both get tighter.
- Extra possessions: New York’s season offensive rebound rate (29.4 ORB%) is well ahead of Atlanta’s (24.1). If the Knicks can still generate second chances despite injuries, it’s a major edge in a lower-possession game.
- Ball security is likely stable: Both teams are low-turnover by rate (Knicks 12.2 TOV%, Hawks 12.3 TOV%). That puts more weight on shot-making rather than live-ball turnovers creating easy points.
- Efficiency is close on paper: Team shooting efficiency is similar (Knicks .556 eFG%, Hawks .554 eFG%), so lineup availability and late-clock execution can decide who separates.
Betting Trends
- Knicks were 30-10 straight up at home in the regular season.
- Hawks were 22-19 straight up on the road in the regular season.
- Knicks were 28-13 ATS at home.
- Hawks were 23-18 ATS on the road.
- Knicks finished 44-39 ATS overall.
- Hawks finished 44-38 ATS overall.
- Knicks finished 39-44 to the over (44 unders, 39 overs).
- Hawks finished 40-42 to the over (42 unders, 40 overs).
- Both teams enter off a 6-4 stretch over their last 10 games.
- The most recent meeting (April 6) ended 108-105 (213 total points).
Best Bet
Under 215.5 (-110).
New York’s pace profile (97.2) is built for lower-possession games, and its full-season results lean under (44 unders). Atlanta also finished slightly under-heavy (42 unders), and the last head-to-head landed at 213 points. With both teams coming in on extended rest, the defensive game plan and half-court focus typically sharpen, and current injury statuses also point toward fewer clean scoring sequences if key creators and finishers are limited or out.
Predicted Score
Knicks 109, Hawks 104
21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
