Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Picks – Feb 10, 2025

The Boston Celtics (37-16) head to the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida, to face the Miami Heat (25-25) for the second time this season on Monday, February 10 at 7:30 PM ET. The Celtics are slightly favored on the road, with a point spread at -5.5 (-115) at MYBOOKIE.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Celtics are second in the Eastern Conference and have gone 4-1 in their previous five games. Their recent battle was a 121-104 blowout against the New York Knicks, their second blowout win over them this season.

Boston never dipped below 30 points each quarter here and they raced away with this one early. Jason Tatum led with 40 points, but Payton Pritchard was huge off the bench with 25 points. In total, they had six guys that made it to double figures.

They had more than just a good shooting night, even with double the amount of threes made than they Knicks. Boston was strong on the boards with 14 more defensive rebounds and had great ball movement to keep the offense going strong.

The Celtics are sixth in the league for averaging 117.5 points per game. On defense they have allowed their opponents to get 108.7 points each matchup, ranking fifth. This is a good margin of safety.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Heat are 2-3 over their latest five-game stretch and must find consistency back at home. Their latest battle was a 102-86 blowout against the Brooklyn Nets. This was an embarrassing showcase late in the game, as the Heat were ahead by eight at the start of the fourth quarter.

A terrible fourth quarter for the Heat put this game vastly out of reach, as they posted just nine points total and gave up 31 in return. Terry Rozier led with 20 points off the bench and just five players barely made it double figures.

So what went wrong with the Heat? They gave up 52 points total in the paint and only scored 34. They also made slightly less field goals overall, but spent most of their time trying to roar back with three pointers.

The Heat are averaging 110.5 points each game and rank 23rd. Their defense has held opposing teams to 110.6 points per game, which puts them at seventh. This margin is too thin to win ball games. 

Odds, Series Trends, and Free Pick

The Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat betting odds have been offered through MyBookie, which currently reveals the Celtics as 5.5-point favorites. According to market analysis, the Celtics have a 63.1 percent chance of winning.

The Heat looked like a train wreck in their last 12 minutes of action against the Nets, but also have a blowout loss against the Celtics this season. Look for the Celtics to cover the spread.

Final Pick: Boston Celtics -5.5 (-115)