Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors Pick – March 10, 2026
Leo Durant
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Golden State is priced as the clear favorite at home: Warriors -6.5 and -245 on the moneyline, with Chicago +6.5 and +200. The total is 227.5, with a slight lean to the over by price.
Odds as of 8:57 AM ET on March 10, 2026.
Odds & Game Info
Scheduled tip is 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center.
One snapshot of the current market:
| Side | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bulls | +6.5 (-110) | +200 | Over 227.5 (-114) |
| Golden State Warriors | -6.5 (-110) | -245 | Under 227.5 (-106) |
Injury updates
- Warriors: Stephen Curry has been out recently with right patellofemoral pain syndrome and is scheduled for another evaluation around March 11. Jimmy Butler III suffered a season-ending right ACL tear on Jan. 19.
- Bulls: Several rotation pieces have missed time through March 8, including Zach Collins (right 1st toe surgery), Noa Essengue (left shoulder surgery), Jaden Ivey (left patellofemoral pain syndrome), and Anfernee Simons (left ulnar styloid fracture). Confirmed game-day statuses should be checked closer to tip.
Team Snapshot
Here’s how the teams profile entering tonight:
| Team | Record (Home/Road) | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bulls | 26-38 (16-18 / 10-20) | 2-8 | 28-34-1 | 24-35 | 113.1 | 117.4 | 101.54 |
| Golden State Warriors | 32-32 (19-13 / 13-19) | 3-7 | 25-30 | 38-26 | 115.2 | 114.2 | 99.37 |
Recent Form
Chicago Bulls
Chicago’s last 10 games: 2-8, averaging 106.9 points on 44.9% shooting and 35.0% from three, but with 18.3 turnovers per game in that span. Their most recent game was a 126-110 loss at Sacramento on March 8.
The road profile is a major limiter: 10-20 away from home, and this is the third road game in five nights (March 5 at Phoenix, March 8 at Sacramento, March 10 at Golden State).
Golden State Warriors
Golden State’s last 10 games: 3-7, averaging 112.3 points on 45.2% shooting and 33.9% from three, with 14.3 turnovers per game. The Warriors are coming off a 119-116 loss at Utah on March 9, making this a back-to-back with travel.
The Curry and Butler absences shift the offense toward volume threes and playmaking through the remaining core, and the Warriors have been in a lot of tight finishes, going 12-16 in clutch games this season.
Matchup Keys
- Tempo battle: Chicago plays faster (101.54 pace) than Golden State (99.37). The Bulls generally benefit if this game turns into a transition-heavy possession count.
- 3-point math: Golden State leads the league in 3-point attempts (45.3 per game) and gets 42.4% of its points from three. Chicago’s defense (117.4 DRtg) is vulnerable if the Warriors generate clean catch-and-shoot volume.
- Turnovers and pressure: Chicago’s last-10 turnover rate (18.3 per game) runs into a Warriors defense that produces steals (9.9 per game) and ranks high in forcing turnovers (15.9 opponent turnovers per game).
- Rest edge: Bulls have been off since March 8; Warriors are on the second night of a back-to-back after playing in Utah on March 9.
Betting Trends
- Bulls are 28-34-1 against the spread this season.
- Warriors are 25-30 against the spread this season.
- Bulls are 10-20 on the road this season.
- Warriors are 19-13 at home this season.
- Chicago is 2-8 over its last 10 games.
- Golden State is 3-7 over its last 10 games.
- Warriors are 6-5 in the second game of back-to-backs this season.
- Golden State has won 18 of the last 21 meetings vs. Chicago, and Chicago is 2-8 in its last 10 vs. Golden State.
- Bulls games have leaned under overall (24-35 O/U results listed).
- Warriors games have leaned over overall (38-26 O/U results listed).
Best Bet
Chicago Bulls +6.5 (-110).
Golden State is on a back-to-back with travel, and their two highest-usage offensive engines (Curry and Butler) have been unavailable recently, which raises the risk of long scoring droughts if the threes do not fall. Chicago’s defense is shaky (117.4 DRtg), so the moneyline is a bigger ask, but +6.5 gives room for a competitive game even if the Bulls’ offense stays inconsistent. The cleanest path to a cover is Chicago pushing pace early and keeping turnovers in check against a defense that hunts steals.
Predicted Score
Warriors 112, Bulls 107.
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