Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings Betting Preview & Prediction – March 08, 2026
Leo Durant
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The market has Chicago favored on the road. Chicago is -144 on the moneyline and laying 3 points, with a 234.5 total that’s being priced slightly toward the under.
Odds from Bet105 as of 9:16 AM ET on March 8, 2026.
Odds & Game Info
Tip-off is set for 9:10 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento.
| Market | Chicago Bulls | Sacramento Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.0 (-108) | +3.0 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -144 | +122 |
| Total | 234.5 (Over -106, Under -114) | |
Injury updates
- Bulls: Mac McClung (out, ankle); Anfernee Simons (out, wrist); Jalen Smith (game-time decision, calf); Patrick Williams (game-time decision, quadriceps); Matas Buzelis (game-time decision, ankle).
- Kings: Keegan Murray (out, ankle); Dylan Cardwell (out, ankle); De’Andre Hunter (out for season, eye); Domantas Sabonis (out for season, knee); Zach LaVine (out for season, finger).
Team Snapshot
Here’s a quick side-by-side look at the season profile for both teams.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bulls | 26-37 (10-19 away) | 2-8 | 29-34 | 28-34-1 | 112.2 | 116.6 | 102.5 |
| Sacramento Kings | 14-50 (9-22 home) | 2-8 | 24-40 | 32-32 | 109.6 | 120.2 | 100.3 |
Recent Form
Chicago Bulls
Chicago has played five games since Feb. 24, going 2-3 with all five finishing below 234.5 total points: 105-103 win at Phoenix, 116-108 loss vs Oklahoma City, 120-97 win vs Milwaukee, 121-112 loss vs Portland, and a 131-99 loss vs Charlotte.
Over the last 10 games, Chicago is 2-8 with a 104.4 offensive rating and 111.8 defensive rating, which is a meaningful drop in scoring efficiency versus its season baseline.
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 1-4 in its last five: 133-123 loss vs New Orleans, 114-103 loss vs Phoenix, 128-104 loss at the Lakers, 130-121 win at Dallas, and a 128-97 loss at Houston. That stretch includes three games allowing 128+ points.
Over the last 10, the Kings are 2-8 with a 106.1 offensive rating and a 122.2 defensive rating, a combination that has produced frequent negative game scripts and inflated opponent scoring.
Matchup Keys
- Shot quality edge vs shot quality defense: Chicago’s offensive eFG% is 55.0% (14th), and Sacramento’s defense is allowing a 57.0% opponent eFG% (29th).
- Rim pressure and free points: Sacramento’s defensive rating is 120.2 (28th) and it also allows a 27.8% opponent free throw rate, which can turn non-shooting nights into efficient scoring for opponents.
- Second-chance control: Chicago’s defense is strong on the glass (28.9% opponent offensive rebound rate, 5th), which matters against a Sacramento offense that looks for extra possessions (29.5% ORB%, 20th).
- Turnovers are unlikely to “save” either offense: Chicago’s forced turnover rate is 12.4% (29th), so Sacramento should get clean possessions even if its half-court efficiency is limited.
- Pace and total-point math: Chicago plays fast (102.5 pace, 4th), but Sacramento is closer to middle-of-the-pack (100.3, 16th). If Chicago’s recent 10-game efficiency dip holds, the total becomes harder to clear even with possessions.
Betting Trends
- Bulls are 29-34 ATS this season.
- Kings are 24-40 ATS this season.
- Bulls are 12-17 ATS on the road this season.
- Kings are 12-19 ATS at home this season.
- Bulls are 28-34-1 to the under this season.
- Kings are 32-32 on totals this season.
- Bulls have gone under the total in six straight games.
- Bulls are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games.
- Kings are 0-9 straight up in their last nine home games.
- Kings are 2-18 straight up in their last 20 games.
Best Bet
Under 234.5 (-114).
Chicago’s last five games have all stayed under 234.5, and its last-10 offensive rating (104.4) is well below its season level, which is a strong signal that pace alone may not be enough to push this game into the 240s. Sacramento’s recent defense has been a problem, but its offense has also been below-average (109.6 ORtg on the season, 106.1 over the last 10), and the current injury report points to fewer reliable half-court options for the Kings. The cleanest path to an over is a Bulls shooting outlier, but the broader efficiency profile favors a number this high coming down.
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