Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons Prediction – February 27, 2026
Leo Durant
Affiliate Disclosure
We may receive compensation from sportsbooks or casinos featured on this page if you register or place a wager through our links. This does not affect our evaluations or rankings. We strive to provide accurate, up-to-date information, but bonus terms, rollover requirements, and availability may change. Always review the operator’s official terms and gamble responsibly.Cleveland heads to Detroit tonight with the Pistons holding the East’s top spot at 43-14 (22-7 home). The Cavaliers are 37-23 (17-12 road) and have been playing strong basketball lately, but they enter this one with key availability questions in the backcourt.
Detroit is favored at home at -6 with a -245 moneyline, and the total is 227.5. Odds as of 9:10 AM ET on February 27, 2026.
The season series is tied 1-1, and the recent head-to-head profile has leaned heavily to the Under (8 Unders in the last 10 meetings).
Odds & Game Info
One table with the lines you provided and the basic game details.
| Item | Cavaliers | Pistons |
|---|---|---|
| Game time (ET) | 7:10 PM | |
| Arena | Little Caesars Arena (Detroit) | |
| Spread | +6.0 (-108) | -6.0 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +200 | -245 |
| Total | Over 227.5 (-110) | Under 227.5 (-110) |
Injury Updates
- Cavaliers: Donovan Mitchell (groin) out.
- Cavaliers: James Harden (thumb) game-time decision.
- Cavaliers: Dennis Schroder (ankle) game-time decision.
- Cavaliers: Keon Ellis (finger) game-time decision.
- Cavaliers: Dean Wade (ankle) game-time decision.
- Cavaliers: Max Strus (foot) out.
- Pistons: Isaiah Stewart (suspension) out.
Team Snapshot
This table summarizes form, betting results, and key efficiency indicators.
| Team | Record (Home/Road) | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | 37-23 (20-11 home, 17-12 road) | 8-2 | 25-35 | 29-31 | 117.5 | 113.3 | 101.8 |
| Pistons | 43-14 (22-7 home, 21-7 road) | 8-2 | 31-26 | 24-32 | 116.6 | 108.3 | 100.3 |
Recent Form
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland has gone 8-2 over its last 10, with a 6-4 ATS mark in that span. Their last five results: L at Milwaukee 118-116, W vs New York 109-94, L at Oklahoma City 121-113, W at Charlotte 118-113, W vs Brooklyn 112-84.
On the season, the Cavs are scoring 119.5 points per game but allowing 115.1, which leaves less margin for error if Mitchell remains out and Harden is limited or sits. Rest and travel: Cleveland last played Feb. 25 in Milwaukee and travels to Detroit on one day off.
Detroit Pistons
Detroit is also 8-2 in its last 10 (6-4 ATS), and they have won 6 of their last 7 overall. Their last five results: W vs Oklahoma City 124-116, L vs San Antonio 114-103, W at Chicago 126-110, W at New York 126-111, W at Toronto 113-95.
Detroit’s profile is driven by defense: 109.5 points allowed per game on the season, plus strong playmaking defense (10.5 steals per game) and rim protection (6.4 blocks per game). Rest and travel: Detroit last played Feb. 25 at home and stays home here, also on one day off.
Matchup Keys
- Detroit’s defense vs Cleveland’s scoring: Pistons DRtg (108.3) is elite, and they allow 109.5 points per game, a tough backdrop for a Cavs offense potentially missing its top scorer (Mitchell).
- Turnover pressure: Detroit generates disruption with high steal activity (10.5 per game), which matters more if Cleveland’s primary ball-handlers are limited or out.
- Shot volume swings (second chances): Detroit’s offense is built to create extra possessions with offensive rebounding (top-tier offensive rebound rate profile), while Cleveland is closer to mid-pack on the glass.
- Tempo points to a “normal” total environment: Both teams sit in a middle pace range (roughly 100-102), so the total is more about efficiency and free throws than pure speed.
- Rest edge: Both teams have the same rest window, but Detroit avoids travel and keeps its routine at home.
Betting Trends
- Cavaliers are 37-23 overall and 17-12 on the road.
- Pistons are 43-14 overall and 22-7 at home.
- Cavaliers are 25-35 ATS this season.
- Pistons are 31-26 ATS this season.
- Cavaliers are 29-31 on totals this season.
- Pistons are 24-32 on totals this season.
- Both teams are 8-2 SU over their last 10 games.
- Head-to-head last 10 meetings: Under is 8-2.
- Cleveland last 10 games: 6-4 ATS and 6-4 to the Over.
- Detroit last 10 games: 6-4 ATS and 5-5 on totals.
Best Bet
Under 227.5 (-110).
Detroit’s defense has been consistent all season (low points allowed, elite efficiency profile), and the Cavaliers’ injury report creates a real downside risk for Cleveland’s offensive ceiling if Mitchell remains out and Harden is anything less than full go. The head-to-head history also supports a lower-scoring game, with the Under cashing in 8 of the last 10 meetings. With both teams playing at a middle-of-the-pack pace, this total is more likely to be decided by shot quality and turnovers than by transition volume.
21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.