Golden State Warriors vs Utah Jazz Prediction – March 09, 2026
Jake Thompson
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In the standings context, the Warriors (32-31) are 8th in the West, while the Jazz (19-45) sit 14th. Golden State has owned the season series (3-0) but comes in short-handed again.
Both teams are on one day of rest after playing Saturday, March 7. This is Golden State’s third road game in five days, while Utah is returning home after a three-game road stretch.
Odds & Game Info
Odds from BetAnything as of 9:45 a.m. ET on March 9, 2026.
Game info: Monday, March 9, 2026 at 9:10 p.m. ET (Delta Center, Salt Lake City).
Here’s a quick look at the current betting market.
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
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Injury updates (notable)
- Warriors: Stephen Curry (out, knee), Jimmy Butler (out for season, knee/ACL), Kristaps Porzingis (out, illness), Al Horford (out, injury management), Moses Moody (out, wrist), Will Richard (questionable, ankle), Seth Curry (day-to-day, sciatica)
- Jazz: Lauri Markkanen (out, ankle/hip), Walker Kessler (out for season, shoulder), Jaren Jackson Jr. (out for season, knee), Jusuf Nurkic (out for season, nose), Vince Williams Jr. (out for season, ACL)
Team Snapshot
This table captures where each team stands overall, plus season-long efficiency and tempo.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | 32-31 (Road: 13-18) | 4-6 | 28-34-1 | 36-27-0 | 114.1 | 112.9 | 100.3 |
| Jazz | 19-45 (Home: 11-21) | 2-8 | 34-30-0 | 37-27-0 | 113.2 | 120.5 | 102.7 |
Recent Form
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 4-6 straight up in its last 10, with a 4-6 ATS mark and a 7-3 run to the over. Those last 10 games have averaged 228.3 total points, with the Warriors scoring 112.1 per game and allowing 116.2 per game.
The most recent result was a 104-97 loss at Oklahoma City on Saturday (March 7), a pace-down game that still featured strong defense but limited shot creation without Stephen Curry.
Utah Jazz
Utah is 2-8 straight up in its last 10 (4-6 ATS), with totals split 5-5. The Jazz have still played to a high-scoring environment recently: 230.9 average total points across the last 10, scoring 113.0 per game while allowing 117.9 per game.
They return home after a 113-99 loss at Milwaukee on Saturday (March 7). With Markkanen and multiple rotation bigs out, Utah’s margin for error shrinks when the 3-point shot is not falling.
Matchup Keys
- Warriors 3-point volume vs Jazz perimeter defense: Golden State is No. 1 in both 3PA (45.3) and 3PM (16.3) per game, and Utah’s defense ranks 29th in opponent 3P% allowed (37.2%).
- Ball movement edge: The Warriors are 3rd in assists (29.2), and the Jazz defense ranks 30th in assists allowed (30.2).
- Game environment leans fast: Utah’s pace (102.7) is among the league’s fastest, and it pairs with a 120.5 defensive rating, which tends to inflate opponent scoring even when Utah is shorthanded.
- Turnovers can keep Utah alive: Golden State commits 15.6 turnovers per game (26th). Utah does not have to be elite offensively to hang around if it generates extra possessions.
- Free throws may not be Golden State’s bailout: Utah’s defense allows 27.4 FTA per game (29th), but Golden State’s offense is 27th in FTA (20.7), so the Warriors still profile as a jump-shooting dependent team.
Betting Trends
- Warriors are 28-34-1 ATS this season.
- Jazz are 34-30 ATS this season.
- Warriors are 36-27-0 to the over this season.
- Jazz are 37-27-0 to the over this season.
- Warriors last 10: 7-3 to the over (228.3 average total points).
- Jazz last 10: 5-5 to the over (230.9 average total points).
- Head-to-head last 10 meetings: Warriors are 9-1 straight up and 6-4 ATS.
- This season (3 meetings): Warriors are 3-0 straight up, with the three games averaging 250.7 total points.
- Warriors are 13-18 on the road this season; Jazz are 11-21 at home.
Best Bet
Over 226.5 (-114).
Utah’s pace (102.7) and defensive efficiency (120.5 DRtg) are the clearest drivers for a higher-possession, higher-scoring game environment, even with key Jazz scorers out. Golden State’s profile also fits an over: No. 1 in 3-point attempts and makes, plus elite assist creation against a Jazz defense that allows a lot of assisted offense. The Warriors have gone over in 7 of the last 10, and both teams’ last-10 game totals are averaging above this number.
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