Houston Rockets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Picks – Monday, March 3, 2025

The Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder will meet for the fourth time this season when they meet up on Monday, March 3 at 8:00 PM ET at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. The Thunder are moderately favored with a -11.5 (-105) point spread at MyBookie.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Rockets have been solid over their last handful of games, steadily climbing over the .500 mark in their previous five matchups. However, they are 1-2 against the Thunder this season. They have allowed the Thunder to average 117.6 points in this series, but failed to match them offensively with 107.3 points each game.

Their offense comes from various angles of the team. Jalen Green leads them with 21.6 points a game while making 42.9 percent of his shots. Alperen Sengun grabs 10.5 rebounds per game while Fred VanVleet leads with 5.8 assists per matchup.

Houston averages 112.6 points a game while ranking 18th for their effort. Their defense comes in at fifth for allowing 108.8 points per game. This is a solid margin of error.

The Rockets’ efficiency per 100 possessions ranks 16th while their defense at the same rate ranks third. This ratio puts them as the seventh-best team in the league per 100 possessions overall.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Thunder have looked more appealing in their latest five-game stretch in comparison to the Rockets. However, this momentum will be tough to keep up when you are one of the best teams in the league and have a target on their backs.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is having an MVP campaign, as he is currently leading with 32.3 points on 52.3 percent shooting and 6.1 assists per game. Isaiah Hartenstein leads the team with 11.4 rebounds, but also contributes 11.0 points each battle.

OKC ranks fourth offensively with 118.9 points each game. Their defense has allowed 106.2 points per contest, ranking second. This is one of the best margins in the game.

The Thunder rank fifth for their efforts on offense per 100 possessions and are the best overall defensively in that same timespan. This ratio ranks the best overall in the league, showing they have a legitimate shot to win every time they step onto the court.

Odds, Series Trends, and Free Pick

MyBookie gives you the best Houston Rockets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder betting odds, showing the Thunder as 11.5-point favorites. The Thunder have a 69.9 percent chance of winning according to market analysis.

The Rockets are 17-12 on the road while the Thunder are 25-4 at home. The Rockets also have a handful of players that will be a game time decision. Look for the Thunder to cover the spread.

Final Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -11.5 (-105)