Indiana Pacers vs Los Angeles Lakers Pick – March 06, 2026
Jake Thompson
See more of Spooky on Google
Enjoy our picks and previews? Tap this to add Spooky Express as a preferred source on Google — you’ll see more of our articles in Top Stories and Discover. Free, one tap, and you can change it any time in your Google settings.
Affiliate Disclosure
We may receive compensation from sportsbooks or casinos featured on this page if you register or place a wager through our links. This does not affect our evaluations or rankings. We strive to provide accurate, up-to-date information, but bonus terms, rollover requirements, and availability may change. Always review the operator’s official terms and gamble responsibly.Indiana heads to Los Angeles on Friday night with the Pacers sitting at 15-47 (15th in the East) and the Lakers at 37-25 (6th in the West). Indiana has dropped seven straight, while the Lakers are trying to avoid a letdown spot on the second night of a back-to-back.
The market is pricing this as a heavy Lakers lean: LA is -500 on the moneyline and laying 10.5 points, with a 235.5 total. Odds as of 7:09 a.m. ET on March 6, 2026.
Odds & Game Info
| Info | Details |
|---|---|
| Matchup | Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers |
| Date | March 6, 2026 |
| Tip-off (listed) | 10:30 p.m. ET (7:30 p.m. PT) |
| Arena | Crypto.com Arena (Los Angeles, CA) |
This table lists the current lines for spread, moneyline, and total.
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers | +10.5 (-110) | +385 | O/U 235.5 (-110 / -110) |
| Los Angeles Lakers | -10.5 (-110) | -500 | O/U 235.5 (-110 / -110) |
Team Snapshot
This table summarizes each team’s profile entering the game.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | 15-47 (5-25 road) | 2-8 | 28-34 | 28-34 | 108.6 | 116.8 | 102.0 |
| Lakers | 37-25 (18-12 home) | 5-5 | 33-29 | 32-29-1 | 116.3 | 116.0 | 99.4 |
Recent Form
Indiana Pacers
Indiana is on a 7-game losing streak and has been overwhelmed defensively lately, allowing 131.4 points per game over its last five. Those five games were all losses: 107-130 at the Clippers (Mar. 4), 106-125 vs Memphis (Mar. 1), 109-133 vs Charlotte (Feb. 26), 114-135 vs Philadelphia (Feb. 24), and 130-134 vs Dallas (Feb. 22).
Injury report: Pascal Siakam (questionable, wrist), Andrew Nembhard (questionable, back), Aaron Nesmith (questionable, ankle), Ivica Zubac (out, ankle), Johnny Furphy (out for season, knee).
Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers lost 120-113 at Denver on Thursday (Mar. 5) and now return home for the second night of a back-to-back. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have defended well overall, allowing 107.8 points per game in that span: 113-120 at Denver (Mar. 5), 110-101 vs New Orleans (Mar. 3), 128-104 vs Sacramento (Mar. 1), 129-101 at Golden State (Feb. 28), and 110-113 at Phoenix (Feb. 26).
Injury report: LeBron James (questionable, elbow), Deandre Ayton (questionable, knee), Maxi Kleber (out, back).
Matchup Keys
- Free throws are a major leverage point. The Lakers’ offense is elite at getting to the line (FT rate 31.7%), and Indiana’s defense has been foul-prone (opponent FT rate 29.8%).
- Game speed vs game control. Indiana plays faster (102.0 pace), while the Lakers are more middle-of-the-pack (99.4). If LA’s back-to-back legs show, a slower game favors the under and makes covering -10.5 harder.
- Shot quality gap. The Lakers rank near the top in efficiency (56.9% eFG), and Indiana’s defense has struggled to suppress efficient looks (55.4% opponent eFG).
- Indiana’s defense is trending the wrong way. The Pacers have allowed 131.4 points per game across their last five, and their last-10 defensive form has been worse than their season baseline (120.3 DRtg over the last 10).
- Rest and travel angle. Indiana last played in Los Angeles on Mar. 4, while the Lakers played in Denver on Mar. 5 and travel home for this one.
Betting Trends
- Pacers are 5-25 on the road.
- Lakers are 18-12 at home.
- Pacers are 28-34 ATS this season.
- Lakers are 33-29 ATS this season.
- Pacers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games.
- Pacers are 0-7 straight up in their last 7 games.
- Pacers have gone over the total in 5 of their last 6 games.
- Lakers have gone under the total in 5 of their last 7 games.
- Lakers have gone under the total in 5 of their last 6 home games.
Best Bet
Under 235.5 (-110). A pace-based lens points slightly lower than this number: Indiana plays fast, but its offense grades bottom-tier by efficiency (108.6 ORtg), and the Lakers’ pace is closer to average (99.4). LA is also on the second night of a back-to-back, which often shows up in shot quality and late-game tempo. The biggest risk is Indiana’s recent defensive collapse pushing the Lakers into an easy 120+ night, so this under looks best if the game flow slows and Indiana’s scoring stays closer to its season level (111.3 points per game).
Predicted Score
Lakers 121, Pacers 109
21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
