Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers Pick & Prediction – March 08, 2026
Jake Thompson
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The market is pricing Portland as a clear home favorite: Trail Blazers -8.5 with a 236.5 total. Indiana is +300 on the moneyline, which makes the Pacers the underdog you only want if you see a very specific injury-driven path to a closer game.
Odds from Bet105 as of 9:17 a.m. ET on March 8, 2026.
Odds & Game Info
This table shows the spread, moneyline, and total for Pacers vs. Trail Blazers.
| Game Info | Details |
|---|---|
| Matchup | Indiana Pacers @ Portland Trail Blazers |
| Date / Time | March 8, 2026 (Sunday) at 9:10 PM ET |
| Arena | Moda Center (Portland, OR) |
This table shows the current market lines.
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers | +8.5 (-108) | +300 | O 236.5 (-110) / U 236.5 (-110) |
| Portland Trail Blazers | -8.5 (-112) | -375 | O 236.5 (-110) / U 236.5 (-110) |
Injury Report (latest available)
- Pacers: Tyrese Haliburton (out), Ivica Zubac (out), Johnny Furphy (out), Andrew Nembhard (questionable), Pascal Siakam (probable), Aaron Nesmith (probable).
- Trail Blazers: Damian Lillard (out), Shaedon Sharpe (out), Deni Avdija (questionable), Kris Murray (questionable).
Team Snapshot
This table summarizes each team’s current profile for betting and efficiency.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers | 15-48 | 2-8 | 28-35 | 29-34 | 108.7 | 117.0 | 102.0 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 30-34 | 4-6 | 33-30-1 | 34-30 | 112.4 | 115.5 | 102.0 |
Recent Form
Indiana Pacers
Indiana comes in on a 0-5 run in its last five games, and the defensive results have been the bigger issue: they’ve allowed 125+ points in four of those five. Over the last 10, their defense has slid to a 121.1 defensive rating, while the offense has been at 110.0 per 100 possessions.
Recent results: L at Lakers 117-128, L at Clippers 107-130, L vs Grizzlies 106-125, L vs Hornets 109-133, L vs 76ers 114-135.
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 2-3 in its last five, but the scoring profile has been uneven. Over the last 10, the Blazers’ offense has dropped to 106.2 per 100 possessions (down 6.2 from their season level), which matters when you’re laying a bigger number like -8.5.
Recent results: L at Rockets 99-106, W at Grizzlies 122-114, L at Hawks 101-135, L at Hornets 93-109, W at Bulls 121-112.
Matchup Keys
- Possession volume is high. Both teams play fast (102.0 pace each), which is why the total is sitting in the mid-230s.
- Free-throw pressure favors Portland. The Blazers are top-10 in free-throw rate (28.2%), and Indiana is near the bottom defensively in opponent free-throw rate allowed (29.8%).
- Rebounding clash: Portland’s strength vs Indiana’s resistance. Portland is elite on the offensive glass (35.2% ORB%, 4th), while Indiana has been solid at limiting opponent offensive rebounds (29.9% opponent ORB%, 10th).
- Turnovers are the Blazers’ swing factor. Portland has the league’s worst offensive turnover rate (16.8% TOV%, 30th). Indiana is respectable at taking care of the ball offensively (14.1% TOV%, 11th), which can keep them hanging around if Portland gives away empty trips.
- Shot-making ceiling is limited for Indiana. The Pacers’ season-long efficiency profile is bottom-tier (52.3% eFG%, 29th) and they’re missing their primary creator (Haliburton).
Betting Trends
- Indiana is 15-48 overall and 5-26 on the road.
- Portland is 30-34 overall and 16-15 at home.
- Indiana is 2-8 in its last 10 games; Portland is 4-6 in its last 10.
- Indiana is 28-35 ATS this season.
- Portland is 33-30-1 ATS this season.
- Indiana is 29-34 to the total this season.
- Portland is 34-30 to the total this season.
- Indiana’s last-10 defensive rating is 121.1 (worse than its 117.0 season mark).
- Portland’s last-10 offensive rating is 106.2 (well below its 112.4 season mark).
- Both teams last played on Friday, March 6, so each is on one day of rest, with Indiana continuing a West Coast road swing.
Best Bet
Under 236.5 (-110)
The pace points toward a higher total, but the efficiency doesn’t. Indiana ranks last in offensive rating (108.7) and may be without Andrew Nembhard (questionable), while Portland’s offense has trended down over the last 10 (106.2 per 100 possessions). With both teams carrying mid-tier or worse defensive ratings, the main “over” path is a big free-throw game, but Indiana’s shooting efficiency has been a consistent limiter all season. A fair median outcome looks closer to the low 230s than the high 230s.
Predicted Score
Trail Blazers 118, Pacers 112 (230 total)
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