Memphis Grizzlies vs Philadelphia 76ers Pick & Prediction – March 10, 2026
Jake Thompson
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Philadelphia’s record is stronger, but availability is the story here: the 76ers are missing key offensive pieces, and Memphis is still without Ja Morant. That combination matters more than season-long averages when you’re pricing a one-night market.
Odds & Game Info
Game: Memphis Grizzlies @ Philadelphia 76ers (March 10, 2026), 7:10 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
Odds as of 8:53 AM ET on March 10, 2026.
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| MEM +3.5 (-114) | PHI -3.5 (-106) | MEM +140 | PHI -166 | Over 227.5 (-112) | Under 227.5 (-108) |
Injury updates
- Grizzlies: Ja Morant (out, elbow), Zach Edey (out for season, ankle), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (out for season, finger), Brandon Clarke (out, calf). Day-to-day: Cedric Coward (knee), Ty Jerome (calf), Scotty Pippen Jr. (toe), Taylor Hendricks (thumb), Santi Aldama (injury management), Taj Gibson (reconditioning).
- 76ers: Joel Embiid (out, oblique), Tyrese Maxey (out, hand), Johni Broome (out, knee). Day-to-day: VJ Edgecombe (back).
Team Snapshot
Here’s a quick side-by-side snapshot of current results, betting results, and efficiency.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis | 23-40 | 3-7 | 30-32-1 | 32-31 | 113.5 | 115.9 | 101.5 |
| Philadelphia | 34-30 | 4-6 | 32-29-3 | 32-32 | 114.3 | 114.6 | 100.0 |
Home/road records
- Memphis: Home 12-19, Road 11-21.
- Philadelphia: Home 17-16, Road 17-14.
Recent Form
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis has dropped four straight and is 3-7 SU in its last 10, but it’s quietly been competitive versus the number (6-4 ATS last 10). Totals have skewed high recently (7-3 to the over last 10), despite Morant being out.
On Monday (March 9), the Grizzlies lost 126-115 at Brooklyn. That sets up a back-to-back travel spot, but it’s a relatively short move into Philadelphia compared to most road back-to-backs.
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 4-6 SU in its last 10 and has not covered often in that stretch (3-6-1 ATS last 10). The offense has dipped hard over the past 10 games (108.6 offensive rating over that span), and that aligns with the current injury list.
The 76ers lost 115-101 at Cleveland on Monday (March 9), then fly home for this one. With Embiid and Maxey sidelined, Philly’s shot creation late in possessions becomes a major concern, especially on tired legs.
Matchup Keys
- Memphis shot volume vs Philly’s defensive profile: Memphis takes 90.5 FGA per game (high volume) while Philadelphia allows 88.9 FGA, which can pull the Grizzlies back toward a more average number of attempts.
- Ball movement vs turnover pressure: Memphis averages 28.8 assists (top-tier), but also 15.2 turnovers. Philadelphia grades well at forcing turnovers (15.6% forced TOV rate), a swing factor for both side and total.
- Second-chance paths matter with stars out: Philadelphia’s offensive rebounding rate is strong (30.9%), while Memphis allows a high opponent ORB% (32.0%). If the Sixers win the extra-possession battle, it can offset the missing scoring.
- Efficiency needed to clear 227.5: Both teams play around league-average pace (Memphis 101.5, Philadelphia 100.0). Without elite transition volume, this total typically needs strong half-court efficiency and/or free throws.
- Points baseline: Memphis scores 115.7 points per game, and Philadelphia allows 116.1. That’s a fair starting point, but it needs to be adjusted for the current availability on both sides.
Betting Trends
- Memphis is 30-32-1 ATS this season.
- Philadelphia is 32-29-3 ATS this season.
- Memphis is 6-4 ATS over its last 10 games.
- Philadelphia is 3-6-1 ATS over its last 10 games.
- Memphis totals are 32-31 on the season and 7-3 to the over in the last 10.
- Philadelphia totals are 32-32 on the season and 5-5 in the last 10.
- Head-to-head last 10 meetings: Memphis leads 6-4 SU, and totals are 7-3 to the over.
- The last meeting (Dec. 30, 2025) went to overtime and finished 139-136 (275 points).
Best Bet
Under 227.5 (-108).
Philadelphia’s last-10 offensive rating (108.6) is well below its season level, and it’s happening in the exact window where Embiid and Maxey have been off the floor. Memphis is also missing Morant and multiple rotation players, which lowers their ceiling in half-court possessions and makes them more dependent on volume and second chances. With both teams on a back-to-back, the most common drag is shot quality and late-game execution, and those are already problem areas for this version of the Sixers.
Predicted Score
Philadelphia 112, Memphis 107
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