NBA Play-In Tournament Spread Pick & Prediction: Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings

Another exciting NBA Play-In for the Western Conference will occur with the Dallas Mavericks (39-43) and the Sacramento Kings (40-42) battling it out on Wednesday, April 16 at 10:00 PM ET at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California. The Kings are favored and have a point spread at -4.5 (-115) at MyBookie.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Mavs have lost four out of their last five games and are in a tough spot for this matchup with a handful of players listed as a game time decision. They are coming off a 132-97 blowout against the Memphis Grizzlies, which had a few key players not available to go against the Sacramento Kings.

Despite the blowout loss, Daniel Gafford had a great performance of 20 points on 80.0 percent shooting from the field. They allowed the Grizzlies to get close to 40 points in the first and third quarters, which put this game out of reach.

Dallas is the middle of the pack (15th in league) for scoring at 114.2 points per game. Their defense has allowed 115.4 points each game, ranking 20th. This margin is slightly negative, but will potentially be worse without key players in the lineup when facing the Sacramento Kings.

The Mavs are 17th for their offensive efficiency per 100 possessions. Their defensive efficiency at the same time span, they rank 21st. Overall, they are considered to be the 19th-best efficient team on the floor.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Kings are 3-2 over their last five game stretch and are coming off a 109-98 win against the Phoenix Suns. This win snapped their two-game skid to put them on a positive trend heading into this matchup against the Dallas Mavericks.

Jonas Valanciunas led with 22 points and only missed one of his 11 shot attempts from the field. Domantas Sabonis also stood out with 20 points, 12 rebounds, and six assists. Together they will be difficult to stop against a Mavs team that has depth issues, which could benefit the Sacramento Kings.

Sacramento ranks 10th for producing 115.7 points each matchup. On defense, they have allowed 115.3 points each game, ranking 19th. This margin does not leave room for error, so each game they have played has been within reach for the Sacramento Kings.

The Kings’ offensive efficiency per 100 possessions ranks seventh, while their defensive efficiency at the same rate ranks 23rd. Putting these two together, the Sacramento Kings rank 16th overall for their efficiency each game.

Odds, Series Trends, and Free Pick

MyBookie has you covered with the most appealing Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings betting odds, with the Kings as 4.5-point favorites. The Sacramento Kings have a 61.1 percent chance of winning this matchup, per market analysis.

The Mavs are 17-21 on the road while the Kings have gone 20-21 at home. Key players such as P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, and Anthony Davis are currently listed as a game time decision for the Mavs, which would greatly impact the outcome of this game if they are unable to play or have limited minutes. Look for the Sacramento Kings to cover the spread.

Final Pick: Sacramento Kings -4.5 (-115)