New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks Pick – April 23, 2026
Jake Thompson
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The market has this close to a pick’em, with New York priced slightly shorter on the moneyline and laying 1 point on the road. The total is sitting in the mid-210s after two straight unders to open the series.
New York finished the regular season 53-29 (3-seed) and Atlanta finished 46-36 (6-seed), so this is the spot where the Hawks need to use home court and pace to change the series.
Odds & Game Info
Here’s the current board for Knicks-Hawks Game 3.
| Game Info | Details |
|---|---|
| Date | Thursday, April 23, 2026 |
| Time | 7:00 PM ET (listed tip time) |
| Arena | State Farm Arena (Atlanta, GA) |
| Market | New York Knicks | Atlanta Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.0 (-108) | +1.0 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -110 | -106 |
| Total | 216.5 (O -110 / U -110) | |
Odds as of 10:48 AM ET on April 22, 2026.
Injury updates (latest available)
- Knicks: OG Anunoby (day-to-day, knee).
- Hawks: Jock Landale (out, ankle); Onyeka Okongwu (questionable, knee).
Team Snapshot
This table summarizes each team’s regular-season profile plus current betting results to date.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Knicks | 53-29 | 6-4 | 45-40-0 | 39-46-0 | 118.7 | 112.3 | 97.7 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 46-36 | 6-4 | 45-39-0 | 40-44-0 | 115.0 | 112.9 | 102.5 |
Recent Form
New York Knicks
New York’s path to covering and winning in this matchup usually starts with dictating tempo. The Knicks play at a 97.7 pace on the season, and even in Game 2 (a 107-106 loss) they still held long stretches where Atlanta had to score in the half court.
Game 2 is the warning sign for the Knicks offense: New York shot 45% from the field (39-of-87) and just 63% at the line (17-of-27). Even with a +11 rebounding edge (47-36), they only scored 15 points in the fourth quarter, which is how a team leading most of the night loses by one.
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta’s Game 2 win came with cleaner ball security and better late-game shot creation. The Hawks won despite being out-rebounded (36-47) and despite hitting only 30% from three (9-of-30), which matters because it shows they can win without a “hot shooting” game.
The Hawks also did the small things that travel: they finished with 12 turnovers (vs. 14 for New York) and made 78% of their free throws (18-of-23). If Okongwu’s status limits Atlanta’s center rotation, the rebounding math gets tougher in Game 3, but the pace and pressure points stay the same.
Matchup Keys
- Pace conflict: Atlanta plays fast (102.5 pace) and New York plays slow (97.7). The total often comes down to whose tempo wins the first 6 to 8 minutes of each half.
- Offensive rebounding edge: New York posts a 32.8% offensive rebounding rate, while Atlanta allows a 29.8% opponent offensive rebounding rate. If the Knicks are generating extra possessions, it offsets any road shooting dip.
- Turnover forcing: Atlanta’s opponents run a 15.6% turnover rate, higher than New York’s 14.7%. If the Hawks can speed up Brunson-led lineups without giving away transition defense, that’s their cleanest path to separation.
- Shot quality profile: Both teams are efficient by eFG% (Knicks 55.7%, Hawks 55.4%). With similar baseline shot-making, free throws and second-chance points can decide tight games.
Betting Trends
- Knicks are 45-40-0 ATS this season to date.
- Hawks are 45-39-0 ATS this season to date.
- Knicks are 29-14-0 ATS at home but 16-26-0 ATS away.
- Hawks are 24-19-0 ATS away and 21-20-0 ATS at home.
- Knicks games have gone under more often than over (39 overs, 46 unders).
- Hawks games have leaned under as well (40 overs, 44 unders).
- Knicks have gone under in 8 of their last 10 games.
- Hawks have gone under in 6 of their last 10 games.
- The first two games of this series both finished under the closing total.
Best Bet
Under 216.5 (-110)
Game 3 profiles like a possession-by-possession playoff game unless Atlanta completely controls tempo, and New York’s season-long pace (97.7) supports that slower script. Through two games, the scoring has landed at 215 and 213, and New York’s missed free throws in Game 2 are a reminder that even “good looks” do not always convert efficiently in this setting. With both teams trending under across their broader recent sample and with the Hawks potentially managing frontcourt health, the cleanest angle is another total that stays below the mid-210s.
Predicted Score
Knicks 109, Hawks 104
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