New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks Game 4 Prediction – April 25, 2026

New York heads to Atlanta for Game 4 of this first-round series with the Hawks up 2-1 after winning Games 2 and 3 by a combined two points (107-106, 109-108). That razor-thin margin is why the market still rates this like a toss-up, even with Atlanta holding serve at home.

The current number has New York laying 1.5 on the road with a modest 214.5 total. Odds from BetOnline as of 9:04 AM ET on April 24, 2026.

With both teams coming off Game 3 on April 23, this is a standard one-day rest spot. Atlanta stays home again, while New York is on a second straight road game in the series.

Odds & Game Info

Team Snapshot

One table to ground the handicap with season-long profile plus current form.

Recent Form

New York Knicks

New York has scored 113, 106, and 108 points in the first three games, but the late-game execution has swung against them in back-to-back one-point losses. Through three games, the Knicks are averaging 109.0 points per game in the series, and both losses came despite holding Atlanta to 107 and 109.

From a style perspective, New York’s slower season pace still matters in this matchup because it narrows possessions and raises the value of each empty trip. That naturally keeps spreads tight, which makes the difference between -1.5 and moneyline meaningful.

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta has won two straight at home by one point each, leaning on shot-making and timely stops rather than separation. The Hawks are averaging 106.0 points per game in the series, so the wins have come more from keeping New York out of easy scoring runs than from explosive offense.

Atlanta also plays faster on the season than New York (101.7 pace vs. 96.8), but the series has largely lived in half-court possessions late, which is why all three games have landed in a narrow total range (213 to 217).

Matchup Keys

• Tempo control: New York plays at a bottom-tier season pace (96.8), while Atlanta is much quicker (101.7). If the Knicks dictate tempo, 214.5 becomes easier to play under and the game tightens late.
• Efficiency gap: Knicks season net rating profile is stronger (ORtg 119.9, DRtg 113.3) than Atlanta’s (ORtg 116.1, DRtg 113.7), which helps explain New York still being favored despite trailing 2-1.
• Defense vs. offense clash: New York allowed 111.5 points per game in the regular season, while Atlanta scored 119.9. The early series results have leaned closer to New York’s defensive environment than Atlanta’s scoring environment.
• Clutch margin: Games 2 and 3 were decided by one point. In a one-possession game, laying points is fragile, so picking the right bet type (spread vs. ML) is key.

Betting Trends

• Series record: Hawks lead 2-1, and New York’s two losses were both by exactly 1 point.
• Atlanta is 2-1 ATS in this series; New York is 1-2 ATS.
• Totals in the series: Under is 2-1 (215, 213, 217).
• Knicks last 10 totals: 6 Unders, 4 Overs.
• Hawks last 10 totals: 6 Unders, 4 Overs.
• Regular season ATS: Hawks 44-37-0; Knicks 41-39-1.
• Regular season O/U: Knicks skewed Under (37-44); Hawks were near even (40-41).
• Home/road baseline: Hawks were 24-17 at home; Knicks were 23-19 on the road.

Best Bet

New York Knicks moneyline (-126).

New York’s full-season efficiency profile is stronger, and the last two games were essentially coin flips that swung on a single possession each. With that context, paying a small premium to avoid the -1.5 spread reduces exposure to another one-point finish. If the Knicks can keep pace down and get a slightly cleaner late-game outcome, the moneyline is the more forgiving way to back the favorite.

Injury update: New York has no injuries listed at this time; Atlanta lists Jock Landale (ankle) as out until at least May 2.

Predicted Score

Knicks 108, Hawks 104

21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.