Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns Pick & Prediction – April 14, 2026

Portland heads to Phoenix on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, for a Western Conference Play-In game (No. 8 vs No. 7). The Suns finished 45-37 (25-16 at home), while the Trail Blazers finished 42-40 (18-23 on the road).

Phoenix is favored at home with a moderate number, while the total is sitting in the low 210s, which is notable given Portland’s faster pace and Phoenix’s slower tempo.

Odds as of 9:16 AM ET on April 13, 2026.

Odds & Game Info

Here’s the current betting market for Blazers vs. Suns.

Team Snapshot

This table summarizes form, efficiency, and betting results entering the Play-In.

Recent Form

Portland Trail Blazers

Portland is trending up late: 7-3 in its last 10 with a +13.1 average point differential, scoring 118.3 PPG and allowing 105.2 PPG over that span. For the full season, Portland averaged 115.5 PPG and allowed 115.8 PPG.

In their final five games, the Blazers went 3-2: W 122-110 vs SAC, W 116-97 vs LAC, L 112-101 at SA, L 137-132 (OT) at DEN, W 118-106 vs NO. That stretch included two road losses, with both coming against playoff-level competition.

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix is 5-5 over its last 10, outscoring opponents by +3.0 per game in that window (115.1 PPG scored, 112.1 PPG allowed). On the season, the Suns averaged 112.6 PPG and allowed 111.1 PPG.

In their final five games, the Suns also went 3-2: W 135-103 at OKC, L 101-73 at LAL, W 112-107 vs DAL, L 119-105 vs HOU, W 120-110 at CHI. The 73-point showing at the Lakers is the kind of offensive dip that matters when you’re laying points in a single-elimination setting.

Matchup Keys

• Tempo control vs. total: Portland plays faster (101.6 pace) while Phoenix plays slower (98.1). If the Suns get this into a half-court game, 217.5 can look high.
• Turnovers are a real separator: Phoenix has the lower team turnover rate (14.7% TOV%) compared to Portland (16.9%), which is a major edge in a one-off game.
• Rebounding battle: Portland has the advantage on the glass (46.0 rebounds per game) versus Phoenix (43.1). Extra possessions are Portland’s cleanest path to hanging inside the number.
• Defense profile: Phoenix owns the better defensive rating (112.9 DRtg vs. 113.5), and their season points allowed is lower (111.1 allowed vs. Portland’s 115.8 allowed).
• Injuries reshape shot creation: Portland is without Jerami Grant (calf) and Damian Lillard (Achilles), while Phoenix is without Jalen Green (knee) and multiple rotation pieces, lowering the “easy points” available on both sides.

Betting Trends

• Phoenix finished 48-34-0 ATS this season.
• Portland finished 44-38-0 ATS this season.
• Phoenix games went Under the total more often than Over (37-45-0 O/U).
• Phoenix went strongly Under at home (15-26-0 O/U).
• Portland went Under more often than Over on the road (18-23-0 O/U).
• Portland is 7-3 in its last 10 with 118.3 PPG scored and 105.2 PPG allowed (+13.1 per game).
• Phoenix is 5-5 in its last 10, allowing 112.1 PPG in that span.
• Phoenix is the better ball-security team (14.7% TOV% vs. Portland’s 16.9%).

Injury Updates

• Trail Blazers: Jerami Grant (Out, calf); Damian Lillard (Out, Achilles).
• Suns: Mark Williams (Out, foot); Jordan Goodwin (Out, ankle); Collin Gillespie (Out, shoulder); Jalen Green (Out, knee); Royce O’Neale (Out, knee).

Best Bet

Under 217.5 (-110).

Phoenix leaned Under all season (45 unders in 82 games) and especially at home (26 unders in 41 home games), and their slower pace (98.1) is the style that can drag a Play-In game into fewer total possessions. Portland has played more Unders on the road than Overs, and both teams are missing key scorers, which raises the chances of empty trips and longer stretches of half-court basketball. If Phoenix controls turnovers the way their season profile suggests, it also reduces Portland’s transition chances, which is where totals can inflate quickly.

Predicted Score

Suns 109, Trail Blazers 104

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