San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers Game 3 Pick & Prediction – April 24, 2026
Jake Thompson
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Portland is a small home underdog with plus money on the moneyline, while the total is posted at 219.5 after the first two games both finished with 209 total points.
Odds from BetAnything as of 9:04 a.m. ET on April 24, 2026.
Odds & Game Info
| Game Info | Item | Details |
|---|---|---|
| When | Tip time | April 24, 2026 at 10:30 p.m. ET |
| Where | Arena | Moda Center (Rose Quarter), Portland |
| Spread | Spurs | -2.5 (-108) |
| Spread | Trail Blazers | +2.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | Spurs | -142 |
| Moneyline | Trail Blazers | +120 |
| Total | Over 219.5 | -114 |
| Total | Under 219.5 | -106 |
Injury updates
- Spurs: Victor Wembanyama (concussion protocol) questionable.
- Spurs: Jordan McLaughlin (left ankle sprain) out.
- Trail Blazers: Damian Lillard (left Achilles tendon, injury management) out.
Rest and travel
- Both teams last played Tuesday, April 21 (two full off days before Game 3).
- San Antonio travels from two straight home games to Portland.
- Portland returns home after two games in San Antonio.
Team Snapshot
Here’s a side-by-side snapshot using season-to-date results and full-season efficiency.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 62-20 (Road 29-12) | 8-2 | 48-36 | 36-48 | 119.6 | 111.3 | 99.9 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 42-40 (Home 24-17) | 7-3 | 46-38-1 | 43-42 | 114.4 | 114.7 | 100.5 |
Recent Form
San Antonio Spurs
Game 1 set the Spurs’ template: they won 111-98 and owned the easy points, including a 48-42 edge in points in the paint and a 20-11 edge in fast-break points. They also held Portland’s biggest lead to just 3 while building a game-high 21-point advantage themselves.
In Game 2 (a 106-103 loss), San Antonio led 80-79 through three quarters but got outscored 27-23 in the fourth. Through three quarters, the Spurs shot 49.2% from the field and 37.5% from three (6-for-16), but the possession battle tightened with 14 turnovers through three quarters and Portland generating 18 second-chance points over the game.
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland’s Game 1 offense never found rhythm against the Spurs’ transition pressure and interior defense, and it finished with just 98 points. Even in that loss, the Blazers were competitive early, but they couldn’t keep San Antonio off the rim and in the open floor.
Game 2 showed the path for Portland: stay close, attack the glass, and win late-game shot quality. Through three quarters, Portland shot 40.6% overall (9-for-28 from three), then survived a rough shooting fourth quarter (7-for-23 overall, 1-for-8 from three) by getting to the line (8-for-10 free throws in the fourth) and closing the final possessions.
Matchup Keys
- Turnovers and live-ball chances: Portland averaged 17.4 turnovers per game in the regular season (30th), while San Antonio averaged 13.5 (4th). If Portland’s ball security slips, it fuels San Antonio’s best scoring segment: transition.
- Paint and fast-break scoring have favored San Antonio: In Game 1, the Spurs won points in the paint (48-42) and fast-break points (20-11). In Game 2, fast-break points again leaned Spurs (17-11), keeping them afloat even when the half-court stalled late.
- Rebounding is a real lever for Portland: The Blazers’ best swing skill in this matchup has been creating extra possessions, highlighted by 18 second-chance points in Game 2. That matters against a Spurs offense that already runs efficiently when it gets a clean first shot.
- Shot quality gap (season-long): San Antonio finished the regular season at 48.4% shooting (top-five) versus Portland at 45.3% (bottom-two). If the Blazers do not win the possession game, the efficiency gap is hard to overcome.
- Wembanyama status changes the geometry: If Wembanyama is limited or out, Portland’s rim attempts and offensive rebounding become easier to sustain, and San Antonio’s half-court margin for error shrinks.
Betting Trends
- San Antonio was 62-20 overall in the regular season and 29-12 on the road.
- Portland was 24-17 at home in the regular season.
- San Antonio is 48-36 ATS this season to date.
- Portland is 46-38-1 ATS this season to date.
- San Antonio is 36-48 to the over/under this season to date (a strong under lean).
- Portland is 43-42 to the over/under this season to date.
- The first two games of this series totaled 209 points each (111-98, 106-103), both below 219.5.
- San Antonio averaged 119.9 points per game in the regular season while allowing 111.5, supporting its ability to win even when the opponent drags pace.
- Portland’s regular-season profile included high turnover volume (17.4 per game), creating a clear volatility risk against a disciplined Spurs team.
Best Bet
Under 219.5 (-106).
The early series scoring profile has been consistent: both games landed at 209 total points, and neither team has played at a pure regular-season pace for four quarters. San Antonio’s season-to-date total results also point toward lower-scoring outcomes (36-48 O/U). The biggest variable is Wembanyama’s concussion protocol status, so if you plan to bet the under, confirm his availability and consider sizing down if he’s ruled out and you expect Portland to generate cleaner rim looks.
Predicted Score
Spurs 108, Trail Blazers 104
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