Utah Jazz @ Philadelphia 76ers Pick & Prediction – March 04, 2026
Jake Thompson
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Philadelphia is priced as a clear favorite: 76ers -8.5 and -370 on the moneyline, with a big total of 237.5. Odds as of 11:28 a.m. ET on March 4, 2026.
Scheduled tip-off is 7:30 p.m. ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena (some oddsboards list 7:40 p.m. ET).
Odds & Game Info
Here’s the current board for spread, moneyline, and total.
| Market | Utah Jazz | Philadelphia 76ers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-110) | -8.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +295 | -370 |
| Total | Over 237.5 (-110) | Under 237.5 (-110) |
Injury report (notable): Utah is without Lauri Markkanen (ankle) plus multiple season-ending frontcourt injuries (Jaren Jackson Jr., Walker Kessler, Jusuf Nurkic) and Vince Williams. Philadelphia lists Joel Embiid out (oblique), Johni Broome out (knee), VJ Edgecombe day-to-day (back), and Kelly Oubre Jr. day-to-day (illness). Paul George remains out (suspension).
Team Snapshot
This table captures where each team stands entering March 4.
| Team | Record (Home/Road) | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Jazz | 18-43 (11-21 / 7-22) | 2-8 | 31-29 | 36-25 | 111.2 | 119.3 | 101.8 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 33-28 (16-16 / 17-12) | 4-6 | 31-27 | 32-28 | 113.1 | 111.8 | 98.7 |
Recent Form
Utah Jazz
Utah has dropped six straight and is struggling to finish defensive possessions, allowing 125.8 points per game on the season. The offense can still generate points (117.9 PPG), but the current injury list strips away high-end shot creation and most of the rim protection.
The Jazz have lost four in a row with a 0-4 stretch that includes: 105-125 at Houston (Feb. 23), 118-129 vs. New Orleans (Feb. 26), 105-115 vs. New Orleans (Feb. 28), and 125-128 vs. Denver (Mar. 2).
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 4-6 over its last 10 and comes in on a back-to-back after a 131-91 home loss to San Antonio on Tuesday (Mar. 3). That game also included VJ Edgecombe exiting with a back issue, which matters for a team already missing Joel Embiid and Paul George.
Before the Spurs loss, the Sixers had stacked quality offense in three of their previous four: 135-108 at Minnesota (Feb. 22), 135-114 at Indiana (Feb. 24), and 124-117 vs. Miami (Feb. 26). They also took a 126-111 loss at New Orleans on Feb. 21.
Matchup Keys
- Jazz defense vs. Sixers shot quality: Utah is allowing 125.8 PPG and sits at the bottom of the league defensively by efficiency, which is a problem against a Philadelphia offense that rates better than league average per possession.
- Rim protection and rebounding swing: With Kessler, Nurkic, and Jackson Jr. all out, Utah is extremely thin up front. That can show up in second-chance points and free-throw rate if Philly consistently gets two feet in the paint.
- Pace clash: Utah plays fast (101.8 pace), while Philadelphia plays slower (98.7). If the 76ers control tempo, 237.5 becomes a tougher number to clear without elite shooting.
- Creation without the stars: Embiid and Markkanen being out removes a lot of efficient half-court offense on both sides. Late-clock possessions are more likely to end in jumpers, which typically increases variance and can stall scoring runs.
- Rest and travel: Philadelphia is on zero rest (home back-to-back). Utah is on two days rest but traveling cross-country into a road game where it is just 7-22 this season.
Betting Trends
- Utah is 7-22 on the road this season.
- Philadelphia is 16-16 at home this season.
- Utah enters on a 6-game losing streak.
- Philadelphia enters on a 2-game losing streak.
- Utah is 2-8 in its last 10 games.
- Philadelphia is 4-6 in its last 10 games.
- Utah is 36-25 to the over this season.
- Philadelphia is 32-28 to the over this season.
- Against the spread: Utah is 31-29 ATS; Philadelphia is 31-27 ATS.
Best Bet
Under 237.5 (-110).
This total is priced like a clean, high-possession game, but the personnel points the other way: Embiid is out for Philadelphia and Markkanen is out for Utah, stripping away two of the most efficient scoring options in the matchup. Philadelphia also plays at a below-average pace (98.7), and on the second night of a back-to-back it has a strong incentive to grind the game down if it gets control early. Utah’s defense can inflate totals, but with its frontcourt injuries, the Jazz are also more likely to struggle finishing possessions efficiently against set half-court defense, especially on the road.
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