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MLB Betting Previews | Spooky Express
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Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins

July 4, 2024


The Boston Red Sox will travel to Miami, Florida, to face the Miami Marlins at LoanDepot Park in the final game of a three-game series. The game will start at 1:10 PM ET on Thursday afternoon and air on NESN and Bally Sports Florida.


Boston Red Sox Team Preview


The Boston Red Sox are on a three-game winning streak and have a chance to complete their 5th series sweep this season after winning Game 1 against the Marlins by a score of 8-3 on Tuesday and Game 3 on Wednesday by a score of 7-2. The Red Sox have tripled the runs produced by the Marlins as they have outscored Miami 15-5 through the first two games of the series.


The Red Sox had a two-run lead heading into the top of the 9th inning before scoring another four runs to take a 6-1 lead, which included Rafael Devers, Dominic Smith, and Masataka Yoshida scoring off a double hit from Ceddanne Fafaela. Brayan Bello picked up his 8th win of the season after pitching 6 ? innings, allowing one run, and recording seven strikeouts, which was an excellent bounce-back start after allowing seven runs in 2 ? innings in his start against the Blue Jays.


Boston has won two of the previous three meetings against Miami and has outscored the Marlins by an average of 5 to 2.33 runs per game in those contests. The Boston Red Sox will look to extend their winning streak to four games and their winning streak in the series to three games when they travel to face the Miami Marlins for Game 3.


Miami Marlins Team Preview


The Miami Marlins have been one of the worst teams in baseball this season as they enter the series' final game in danger of being swept for the 7th time in a series this season after losing the first two games at home against the Boston Red Sox.


The Marlins have lost four of their previous five games and have lost by an average margin of 2.4 runs per game during that stretch, which has dropped their record this season to 26 games below .500 at 30-56, putting them in last place in the NL East and giving them the 3rd worst record in baseball, only ahead of the Chicago White Sox and Colorado Rockies.


Miami has struggled to produce runs in the series against the Red Sox as they have only scored a total of five runs, including two runs in Game 2 on Wednesday, which included Jazz Chisholm scoring off a base hit from Jesus Sanchez in the 1st inning. Miami has won three of the previous five games in the series against Boston while having won by an average margin of 1 run per game in those contests.


The Miami Marlins will look to end their three-game losing streak and avoid the series sweep when they host the Boston Red Sox for Game 3 on Thursday afternoon.


Odds and Series Trends


WagerWeb lists the Boston Red Sox as -160 moneyline favorites on the road against the Miami Marlins for Game 3 of the series on Thursday afternoon. Miami has won six of the previous ten.


However, both teams have averaged 4 runs per game in those meetings, while Boston has won two of the previous three games in the series by an average margin of 2.67 runs per game.


Game Pick


Boston was the dominant team in the first two games of the series as they tripled the run production from the Marlins and outscored Miami 15-5 in the first two games of the series. The Marlins have the 3rd worst record in baseball this season as they enter the final match of the series 26 games below .500, while the Red Sox are seven games above .500 and are in 3rd place in the AL East.


As a result, I am taking the moneyline for the Boston Red Sox when they travel to face the Miami Marlins for Game 3 of the series on Thursday afternoon.


Spooky Express Pick: Boston Red Sox (-160)