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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

July 11, 2024


Two NL East division foes will square off in the series finale of a three-game series when the Washington Nationals travel to Flushing, New York, to face the New York Mets at Citi Field. The game is scheduled for 1:10 PM ET on Thursday afternoon and will air on the MLB Network, MASN, and SNY.


Washington Nationals Team Preview


The Washington Nationals enter the series' final game on a four-game losing streak and nine games under .500 at 42-51, which puts them in 4th place in the NL East and 18.5 games behind the Philadelphia Phillies for 1st place in the division.


The Nationals are in danger of being swept in a series for the 5th time this season and the 2nd time by the New York Mets following a 5-7 loss in Game 1 on Tuesday and a 2-6 loss in Game 2 of the series on Wednesday evening. Patrick Corbin lost his 9th game this season after pitching 5 innings, allowing four runs, and recording five strikeouts in the loss against the Mets.


In contrast, the two runs for the Nationals came in the 4th inning after Keibert Ruiz and Lane Thomas scored off a base hit from Juan Yepez. The Nationals have struggled against the Mets this season as they have lost seven of the nine games against New York while having lost by an average margin of 2.44 runs per game in those contests.


The Washington Nationals will look to end their four-game losing streak when they travel to face the New York Mets for Game 3 of the series.


New York Mets Team Preview


After having a losing record for the majority of the 2024 MLB season, the New York Mets improved their record to one game above .500 at 46-45 following a 6-2 win in Game 2 of the series at home against the Washington Nationals and have won four of their previous five games while having won by an average margin of .2 runs per game in those matchups.


New York had a dominant win in Game 2 on Wednesday evening against the Nationals as they won by a score of 6-2, with Luis Severino playing a pivotal role in the win after pitching 6 ? innings, allowing two runs, and recording four strikeouts to improve his record to 6-3 and record his 8th quality start of the season. New York scored six runs, with four of the six coming in the 6th inning, including Pete Alonso and Mark Vientos scoring off a base hit from Jose Iglesias.


The win was the 7th this season for New York against Washington, with the Mets outscoring the Nationals by an average of 6.33 to 3.89 runs per game in those contests. The New York Mets will look to extend their winning streak in the series to three games and complete the series sweep when they host the Washington Nationals for Game 3 on Thursday afternoon.


Odds and Series Trends


JustBet has the New York Mets listed as -145 moneyline favorites at home against the Washington Nationals on Thursday afternoon for Game 3 of the series. New York has won seven of the last ten by an average margin of 2.1 runs per game and two of the previous three games in the series by an average margin of 1.67 runs per game.


Game Pick


New York has dominated the series this season against Washington, winning seven of the nine games this year, and has won by an average margin of 2.44 runs per game, including a 6-2 win in Game 2 of the series on Wednesday. The Mets have won four of their last five games while the Nationals have lost their last four games this season, so I am taking the moneyline for the New York Mets when they host the Washington Nationals for Game 3 of the series on Thursday afternoon.


Pick: New York Mets (-145)