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UFC 303: Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka Preview

June 29, 2024


UFC 303 offers an outstanding lightweight title fight rematch between current champion Alex Pereira and top-ranked Jiri Prochazka on Saturday, June 29 at 10:00 PM ET at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Pereira is favored to claim victory once again, with a moneyline currently at -147. 


Alex Pereira Betting Preview


Pereira has successfully won his last three bouts and will be defending his belt once again. His latest victory was a first round knockout over Jamahal Hill at UFC 300 in April this year.


His fighting portfolio shows 10 wins and two losses, with his victories consisting of eight knockouts and two decisions. He is a threat to end the fight early, as he has earned half of his knockout wins in the first round. As for his two losses, he has one each by knockout and submission.


"Poatan" leads an aggressive charge with a 64 percent success on significant strikes and a successful 100 percent in landing takedowns. His significant strike ratio is also compelling since he lands 5.10 and absorbs 3.65, offering an edge here.


Pereira defends against 50 percent of significant strikes and 70 percent against takedowns. He also manages to throw in 0.18 takedowns per 15 minutes of action.


Jiri Prochazka Betting Preview


Prochazka was able to quickly get back on track with a second round TKO victory over Aleksandar Rakic back at UFC 300. Prior to this win was his battle with Pereria at UFC 295 in November last year, which ended in the second round due to a TKO.


His fighting style has earned him 30 wins and four losses, with 26 knockouts, three submissions, and one decision on the winning side. He has impressively earned 23 first round finishes. Looking at his losses, he has earned three of them by knockout.


"BJP" lands significant strikes at a 56 percent success rate while also landing 60 percent of his takedowns. He provides an aggressive significant strike ratio, with 5.75 landed and 5.43 taken on each minute of combat. The bad news is that he absorbs a lot in return.


Prochazka averages 0.79 takedowns and 0.26 submissions per 15 minutes, which gives him a slight edge on the ground. In addition, he has a significant strikes defense at 41 percent and defends against takedowns at 68 percent, which shows a modest attempt in these situations.


Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick


The best odds for UFC 303 can be found through MyBookie, which has plenty of option for the Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka fight. With Pereira favored to succeed, it makes sense to go with him here as he has a compelling resume to repeat his success. Look for him to hold onto the belt once more.


Final Picks: Alex Pereira -147