The next UFC Fight NIght is coming up soon on Saturday, April 27 at 7:30 PM ET at UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. The main card boasts a flyweight showdown between fifth-ranked Matheus Nicolau and eighth-ranked Alex Perez, while the co-main features a light heavyweight bout between 11th-ranked Ryan Spann and Bogdan Guskov. Nicolau is favored for his battle with a moneyline at -189 and Spann with a -220 moneyline for his respective fight.
Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez Betting Preview
Nicolau is returning to action after a first round knockout defeat against Brandon Royval in April a year ago. His fighting resume showcases a 19-4-1 record, with five wins each coming by knockout and submission.
He has a striking accuracy at 54 percent and lands 45 percent of his takedowns. His significant strike ratio is solid, with landing 3.66 significant strikes each minute and taking on 3.14. Defensively, he does his best in defending against takedowns at 93 percent.
As for Perez, he has lost his last three fights with his most recent being a unanimous decision against Muhammad Mokaev back in March of this year. His resume now shows a 24-8-0 record, with five knockouts and seven submissions.
He strikes with an accuracy at 46 percent and a takedown accuracy at 44 percent. His significant strike output is decent, with 4.12 strikes landed and 3.14 absorbed per minute. His best defensive work is an 83 percent defense against takedowns.
Ryan Spann vs. Bogdan Guskov Betting Preview
Spann's last battle was a split decision loss to Anthony Smith back in August of last year. He now has a 21-9-0 record, composed of six knockouts and 12 submissions with an impressive 15 first round finishes.
His striking and takedown accuracy are not as strong as they could be, coming in at 41 and 35 percent respectively. He also has a slightly negative significant strike ratio at 3.42 strikes absorbed and 3.91 allowed per minute of action. His defenses are also a bit lacking, with his best being a 48 percent takedown defense.
Guskov is 1-1 in UFC battles, with a recent win over Zac Pauga by first round knockout in February of this year. This pushed his record to 15-3-0, with 12 wins by knockout.
So far, he has averaged a 33 percent striking accuracy with no success at takedowns. He has landed 2.43 significant strikes while taking on 5.81, which is a huge difference against him. He does have a solid takedown defense at 66 percent that could help here.
Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick
MyBookie has the odds ready for the upcoming UFC Fight Night. For the Main Card, Matheus Nicolau is becoming a moderate favorite to succeed. Looking at the Co-Main event, Ryan Spann is a moderate contender for success.
Bettors could look into adding Spann to a parlay on his moneyline to potentially help give his payout a boost. Either way, both favorites are poised for success in their respective battles.
Final Pick: Matheus Nicolau -189, add Ryan Spann -220 to parlay
