NFL Betting Preview: New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills – Sunday, Dec. 9, 2018

by | Dec 7, 2018 | NFL

Matchup at a Glance

When: Sunday, December 9th, 2018 at 1:00 PM
Where: New Era Field, Buffalo, New York
Point Spread: Buffalo -3
Betting Total: 38 points

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The NY Jets (3-9) travel to Buffalo (4-8) in a battle for the last place in the AFC East. There are only three teams that have equal or worse records than these two.

So many we should call this a battle for the top draft pick next year. The Jets last week blew a 16 point lead and lost at Tennessee 26-22. Buffalo lost at Miami last week 21-17 in a game in my opinion that they dominated.

Miami just had a few big plays and made the most of them.

 

If we had to pick one thing to get excited about in this game, it would be two top rookie QB’s facing each other. Sam Darnold vs Josh Allen. These two teams played one month ago at the Jets and Buffalo won a laugher 41-10.

Game Location

This game is being played at New Era Field, Buffalo, New York with the kickoff scheduled to take place at 1:00 PM.

Betting Odds

DSI has set the point spread for this game at Buffalo -3 and total for over/under plays at 38 points.

 

NY Jets

The Jets enter week fourteen with a 3-9 record, 4-8 ATS, 1-5 as a visitor and have lost six straight games. Good news for the Jets is they should be getting back Sam Darnold who has missed the past three games.

Been a long season offensively for the Jets who ranked 30th in total offense and passing offense. Their running game is ranked 19th and they are 25th is scoring offense.

Taking a look at the average score of a Jets game this season, the Jets are scoring 20 ppg while giving up 26 ppg.

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Buffalo Bills

The Bills enter week fourteen with a 4-8 record, 5-7 ATS, 2-3 at home and have won 2 of their last 3 games after dropping 4 straight before that. I watched the Buffalo/Miami game last week. I have no idea how Miami won that game.

Buffalo outyarded the Fish 415-175. They had 24 first downs while Miami only had 15. In the final seconds of the game, Josh Allen missed a wide-open Charles Clay at the goal line which would have won the game.

Buffalo is the #2 ranked team in total defense, but only 18th in scoring defense. Buffalo is next to last in total offense and scoring offense. Pretty obvious that defense carries this team. Taking a look at the average score of a Bills game this season, the Bills are scoring 15 ppg while giving up 24 ppg.

NOTABLE TRENDS

  • Jets are 1-4 ATS last 5 games of the road
  • Jets are 1-5 ATS last 6 games overall
  • Jets are 0-5 ATS last 5 vs AFC East
  • Jets are 3-7 ATS last 10 vs AFC
  • The UNDER has cashed 7 of the last 10 Buffalo games
  • The OVER has cashed 16 of the last 21 Buffalo home games
  • Buffalo 7-3 ATS last 10 vs NY Jets

Hard not to take the Bills!

These two teams are very similar. Both teams rely on defense. The Jets generally have a good defense, although they have struggled this year more so than previous years.

Both teams have young QB’s still learning the game. If either one of these teams can ever get a QB that lives up to expectations, they will automatically be playoff contenders. Until then they will do what they are doing right now…….fighting for last place in the AFC East.

Buffalo clearly has the better defense this year. Both QB’s have shown flashes of what they are capable of. For me, the difference right now is Josh Allen’s running ability. I do not see how after being dominated at home by these same Bills a month ago, things can be much different playing in Buffalo.

Will they win by 31 again? Probably not. Will they win by at least 4 points? Absolutely! This line should be 6 to 7 points. Love this game this week. One of my top plays. I would bet the Bills at up to 5 points if the line would go up come kickoff.

Free Play: Buffalo Bills -3

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