NFL Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins – Sunday, Nov. 11, 2018
Matchup at a Glance
Where: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin
When: Sunday, November 11th at 4:25 PM ET
Spread: Green Bay -10
Quick Pick: Green Bay Packers -10 for 5 units
The Green Bay Packers enter this game with a record of 3-4-1 and have lost two games in a row including last week’s loss to the New England Patriots by a score of 17-31.
The Miami Dolphins enter this game with a record of 5-4 and are coming off a win against the New York Jets by a score of 13-6 which ended their two-game losing streak.
Let’s take a closer look at these two teams and we’ll start with the underdog Miami Dolphins.
The Dolphins are 5-4 overall and 5-4 ATS. The Miami Dolphins have beaten bad teams and struggled against good teams this season, so they aren’t as good as their record would project. Miami is 5-4 ATS overall, 2-2 ATS after a win, 1-3 ATS on the road and 3-4 ATS as an underdog.
Brock Osweiler leads the team in passing with 1,034 yards for 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Frank Gore leads the team in rushing with 438 yards and no touchdowns. Albert Wilson leads the team in receiving with 26 receptions for 391 yards and 4 touchdowns.
Miami is averaging 20.78 points per game which ranks 24th in the NFL. They are averaging 103.11 rushing yards per game which ranks 21st in the NFL. They are averaging 212.67 passing yards per game which ranks 26th in the NFL.
The Dolphins are allowing 25 points per game which ranks 19th in the NFL. They are allowing 136.11 rushing yards per game which ranks 28th in the NFL. They are allowing 257.89 passing yards per game which ranks 21st in the NFL.
Green Bay Packers
The Packers are 3-4-1 overall and 3-5 ATS. The Packers haven’t looked great on offense this season which a lot has to do with Aaron Rodgers not being fully healthy and the predictable play calling of Mike McCarthy who may be on his way out if the Packers miss the playoffs. Green Bay is 3-5 ATS overall, 1-2 ATS after a loss, 2-2 ATS at home and 1-3 ATS as a favorite.
Aaron Rodgers leads the team in passing with 2,542 yards for 15 touchdowns and 1 interception. Aaron Jones leads the team in rushing with 350 yards and 2 touchdowns. Davante Adams leads the team in receiving with 58 receptions for 730 yards and 7 touchdowns.
Green Bay is averaging 24 points per game which ranks 15th in the NFL. They are averaging 105.75 rushing yards per game which ranks 19th in the NFL. They are averaging 300.88 passing yards per game which ranks 6th in the NFL.
The Packers are allowing 25.5 points per game which ranks 21st in the NFL. They are allowing 119.62 rushing yards per game which ranks 22nd in the NFL. They are allowing 235.75 passing yards per game which ranks 10th in the NFL.
Green Bay gets the win at home in a blowout
The Dolphins have lost to every good team they have played this season with the exception of the Chicago Bears and in the majority of their losses they have lost by at least 10 points. The Packers are a hard team to figure out, but they aren’t a bad team and this game is at home. I look for the Packers to beat the Dolphins by 14-20 points in this game and come away with the cover. Make sure to bet this match-up on BookMaker.