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NFL Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers vs. Indianapolis Colts – Sunday, Nov. 22, 2020

by Tyler Vaysman | November 22, 2020 |

A compelling inter-conference matchup takes center stage on Sunday as the 7-2 Green Bay Packers are in Indianapolis to take on the 6-3 Colts inside Lucas Oil Stadium as part of the Week 11 slate in the NFL. 

This is the first meeting between the two teams since 2016, just the third time Aaron Rodgers has faced the Colts and only second in Indy. The Colts have won the two most recent matchups and lead the all-time series, 23-21-1, which includes games while the franchise played in Baltimore.

Green Bay Packers Betting Preview: Green & Gold Standard

The Packers enter Sunday as the top seed in the NFC by virtue of their head-to-head win over the Saints in Week 3. The Seahawks win on Thursday night to kick off the week creates a crowded race atop the conference with four teams having seven wins each. 

Green Bay has won two in a row, most recently surviving an upset bid from the Jaguars at Lambeau in Week 10. Rodgers threw two more touchdowns in that one to give him 26, good for second-best in the NFL behind Russell Wilson.

The Packers activated Allan Lazard off of injured reserve, and the receiver will play for the first time since Week 3 after undergoing core muscle surgery. The hope is that the offense will be at full strength though there is some concern over Davante Adams’ status after the star wideout tweaked his ankle against Jacksonville.

Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview: League Leading Defense 

The Colts will have had ten days to prepare for the Packers, coming off last Thursday’s win over the Titans, a crucial victory that puts them in the division lead for now. 

The Colts and Titans have the same record, but the head-to-head tiebreaker favors Indy. The two will face each other again next week as the Colts are in the thick of their toughest four-game stretch of the 2020 campaign.

It’s the Indianapolis defense that’s been the strength of the team to this point, led by Darius Leonard, DeForest Buckner, and a smothering secondary. The Colts have either intercepted or defended 21% of the pass attempts thrown against them — the highest coverage-play rate in the NFL so far. 

They allowed just 294 yards of total offense on 60 Titans plays last Thursday, which actually worsened their league-best average of yards per play allowed.

Packers at Colts Betting Odds & Lines

MyBookie lists the Colts as 1.5-point favorites in this one. These two are a combined 11-5 ATS this season, with the Packers being 4-1 to the number on the road.

Free Betting Pick

It’s a classic case of high-octane offense versus stingy defense on Sunday. It’s the Packers and the third-highest scoring team in the NFL against the Colts, allowing the fourth-fewest points per game in the league. At home, the Colts are only allowing 17.3 PPG. 

Away from Lambeau, the Packers are putting up 31.8 PPG. What’s the deciding factor? Davante Adams. 

If he plays, the Packer's offense at full strength can score on anyone in a league that caters to that side of the ball. If he doesn’t, the Colts can key on Aaron Jones. Keep an eye on Adams.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Packers +1.5

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