NFL Betting Preview: Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs- Sunday, Oct. 13, 2019

by Mark Daloisio | October 8, 2019 |

The Houston Texans (3-2, 1-1 away) travel to Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (4-1, 1-1 home) in a matchup between division leaders in the AFC on Sunday afternoon.  

Last week Houston won and covered as a 4 point favorite 53-32 vs Atlanta. Kansas City was upset at home by the Colts 19-13, the Chiefs were 11 point favorites. These two last met back in 2017 in Houston and KC came out winners 42-34.  

Houston Betting Preview 

Houston (3-2) is tied with the Colts for first place in the AFC South.  Jacksonville & Tennessee both a 2-3 are just one game back. Houston used huge performances by QB Watson & WR Fuller to outscore the Falcons 53-32 last week. 

Houston used a 17-0 3rd quarter to blow open a close game. Atlanta had leads of 7-0, 10-7 and finally 17-16 at the half in what looked like a possible upset. Houston scored 2 TD’s and a field goal in the 3rd quarter to take a 33-17 lead. 

Every time Atlanta scored in the final quarter, Houston answered with a score of their own, and the icing on the cake was a 79-yard interception return with under a minute to play to seal the deal in a 21 point win.  

QB Deshaun Watson broke out of a little mini-slump going 28/33 for 426 yards with 5 touchdown passes with zero interceptions.  William Fuller was his main target catching 14 balls for 217 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Hopkins & Coutee combined for another 160 yards in receiving.  Carlos Hyde & Duke Johnson ran for 119 combined yards, with QB Watson adding another 47 on the ground.

It was a nice win, but Houston must be concerned with giving up so many yards and points.  The defense has always been the strength of this team. 

Houston is scoring 26.2 ppg while giving up 22 points per game.  That offensive output has the Texans ranked 10th in the league in points scored per game.  Defensively they are only ranked 20th in points allowed per game.

The offense needs to be more consistent this season and the defense needs to get back to what they once were if this team wants to make a run in the AFC.  

Kansas City Betting Preview 

Kansas City (4-1) sets in first place in the AFC West, one game ahead of surprising Oakland at 3-2.  The disappointing Chargers are just 2-3 two games back of the Chiefs.

KC was shocked at home last week losing to Colts 19-13.  It is not too often Kansas City and Patrick Maholmes get shut down, especially at home. KC trailed 7-3 at the end of the first and 13-10 at the half. 

Instead of KC coming out in the 3rd and exploding for points like we often see, neither team scored in the 3rd quarter. It continued into the final quarter when the Chiefs scored just 3 more points on a field goal with just 1:16 to play.  After cutting the lead to just 6, the onside kick failed and the Colts ran out the clock.  

Maholmes was 22/39 for 321 yards and a TD pass.  For most QB’s those are decent numbers, but we have become accustomed to seeing more than that from Maholmes. 

The Chief's running game was shut down to the tune of just 36 yards. The usual names from the talented group of receivers were not very effective.  Instead, it was Byron Pringle (6/103 yards) & Mecole Hardman (4/79 yards) leading the way.

Give all the credit to the Colts defense. When was the last time KC had a line score of 3-7-0-3 in scoring at home?  

Kansas City is scoring 29.6 ppg while giving up 22.6 points per game.  That 29.6 ppg has them ranked 2nd behind Dallas for most points scored per game this season. 

Defensively the Chiefs are 25th in the league in points allowed per game. This has been typical Chief’s football just like last season.  Great offense, not so great defense.   

Houston vs Kansas City Betting Lines

BetOnline has set this line at Kansas City -5 with an over/under of 55 points.  The line opened at Kansas City -7½  

Free Betting Pick

This is a great matchup.  One thing that I do know is that linemakers know what they are doing and this one opened up at 7½.   It would be so tempting to grab all those points and apparently most people did dropping it all the way down to 5. 

In the NFL this season so much seems to change from week to week. More than likely Houston will not play as well as they did last week, and Kansas City will look as bad.  The smart bet is on KC this week.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Kansas City -5

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