AFC Divisional Round Betting Preview: LA Chargers vs. New England Patriots – Sunday, Jan. 13, 2019
Matchup at a Glance
When: Sunday, January 13, 2019 at 1:05 PM
Where: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass.
Point Spread: New England Patriots -4.5
Betting Total: 47
This game is being played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts with the kickoff scheduled to take place at 1:05 PM ET on CBS.
Youwager.eu has set the point spread for this game at New England Patriots -4.5 and total for over/under plays at 47 points.
The LA Chargers did the unthinkable. They went on the road, going West Coast to East Coast, for a 1:00 PM game, and defeated the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Wild Card game. Unheard of right….well, not exactly. If you read our article here at Spooky Express, we told you that they have done it 3 times this year and we expected it to happen again.
The Chargers held Baltimore’s passing game to just 6 total yards in the first half and forced the Ravens to come out throwing in the 4th quarter of the game. The Chargers completely took rookie QB Lamar Jackson out of the game, limiting him to 54 yards rushing and 194 yards passing.
The Chargers seemed to live in the Ravens backfield, applying pressure on the young quarterback all game long. On paper, it appears as if the game was much closer than what it was but in reality, the Chargers caused 3 fumbles in the first quarter but failed to capitalize on it.
The Chargers now officially have the best record in the AFC. They are 13-4 SU and were 10-7 ATS this year. They were one of the NFL’s best teams on the road this year, going 8-1 away from their home stadium.
Philip Rivers will lead the Chargers onto the field on Sunday to face the Patriots. Rivers has thrown for 4,308 yards, 32 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. The Chargers also have one of the best Running Backs in the game with Melvin Gordon.
Gordon has run for 885 yards this year and 10 touchdowns, while also catching 50 receptions out of the backfield for an additional 490 yards and 4 touchdowns. Gordon has been banged up and went down with another injury last week but he should be fine to play this week (Make sure you monitor his status).
New England Patriots
The New England Patriots went from being a team thought to be in disarray to the #2 seed in the AFC Playoffs. Once again, Bill Belichick, Tom Brady, and company are back in the postseason and that means we have to take them seriously.
The Patriots started out their season 1-2 SU and ATS and the media was talking about how it was time for Tom Brady to potentially consider retirement. That must of lit a fire under the Patriots as they proceeded to go 6-0 in their next 6 games with 3 wins over current playoff teams, Chicago Bears, KC Chiefs, and Indianapolis Colts.
The Patriots ended up finishing the regular season with an 11-5 SU and 9-7 ATS record. They were tough down the stretch and now, they get to host the Chargers for yet another West Coast to East Coast game at 1:00 PM.
The Patriots are once again, one of the top teams in the AFC but are especially tough when they are playing at home in Gillette Stadium. This year, they went 8-0 at home and might I add, the weather for this weekend in Foxborough, Massachusetts is expected to be in the upper 20’s with snow showers!
The Patriots offense is built for the postseason! They can run the ball if they need to or they can pass the ball with future 1st ballot Hall of Fame Quarterback Tom Brady! The rushing attack is ranked 5th in the NFL and the passing game is ranked 9th in the NFL.
Brady threw for 4,355 yards, 29 touchdowns and 11 interceptions this year, proving once again that he is without a doubt, one of, if not the best quarterback in the NFL. Brady finally has a running game that he can lean on, with Sony Michel. Michel is 69 yards away from racking up 1,000 yards on the season. If the weather is as bad as they say it could be on Sunday, Michel should easily get enough carries to surpass that plateau and reach 1,000 yards on the season.
Chargers Move On To AFC Conference Championship
The Patriots are at home, are coming off a bye week, had an extra week to prepare and yet they are only 4.5 point favorites to a team that is traveling across the country for an early game? Am I the only one that has this red light blinking above my head saying “IT’S A TRAP”.
The oddsmakers are absolutely begging you at this point to bet the New England Patriots and I’m not buying it. For starters, I think the Chargers are straight up a better team overall than New England.
The Chargers have a very similar offense in the fact that they can run the ball with Melvin Gordon, or they can throw downfield with Philip Rivers. The big difference between the two teams is the defense. What is the old adage….defense wins championship….well, LA Chargers definitely have the defense to get them over the barrier and to the next round of the postseason?
I don’t ever like to go against Belichick or Tom Brady, especially in the playoffs but as with everything, all good things must come to an end and this year, the streak is coming to an end. I am predicting that LA Chargers will go into New England and get the win over the Patriots!
The line is currently sitting at LA Chargers +4.5. Buy up the half point and take the Chargers +5 for 3 units. The LA Chargers are moving on to play in the AFC Conference Championship!