NFL Betting Preview: New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins – Sunday, Dec. 8, 2018
Matchup at a Glance
Where: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida
When: Sunday, December 9th at 1:00 PM ET
Spread: New England -7.5
The New England Patriots enter this game with a record of 9-3 and have won two games in a row including last week’s win over the Minnesota Vikings by a score of 24-10.
The Miami Dolphins enter this game with a record of 6-6 and are coming off a win against the Buffalo Bills by a score of 21-17. Let’s take a closer look at these two teams and we’ll start with the underdog Miami Dolphins.
The Dolphins are 6-6 overall and 7-5 ATS. The Miami Dolphins can get back into divisional contention with a win, but if they lose this game they will be eliminated from contention for the divisional title and would have a tough time making the playoffs as well. Miami is 7-5 ATS overall, 2-3 ATS after a win, 5-1 ATS at home and 4-5 ATS as an underdog.
Ryan Tannehill leads the team in passing with 1,313 yards for 13 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Frank Gore leads the team in rushing with 616 yards and no touchdowns. Danny Amendola leads the team in receiving with 48 receptions for 469 yards and 1 touchdown.
Miami is averaging 20.33 points per game which ranks 25th in the NFL. They are averaging 102.67 rushing yards per game which ranks 23rd in the NFL. They are averaging 199.42 passing yards per game which ranks 28th in the NFL.
The Dolphins are allowing 25 points per game which ranks 20th in the NFL. They are allowing 144.67 rushing yards per game which ranks 30th in the NFL. They are allowing 254.75 passing yards per game which ranks 21st in the NFL.
New England Patriots
The Patriots are 9-3 overall and 8-4 ATS overall. The Patriots will win the division if they win this game on Sunday, but they still have to continue to win in order to have a chance at home field advantage throughout the playoffs. New England is 8-4 ATS overall, 5-3 ATS after a win, 3-3 ATS on the road and 8-4 ATS as a favorite.
Tom Brady leads the team in passing with 3,342 yards for 20 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Sony Michel leads the team in rushing with 649 yards and 5 touchdowns. James White leads the team in receiving with 74 receptions for 659 yards and 6 touchdowns.
New England is averaging 27.58 points per game which ranks 7th in the NFL. They are averaging 121.67 rushing yards per game which ranks 11th in the NFL. They are averaging 273.42 passing yards per game which ranks 9th in the NFL.
The Patriots are allowing 21.58 points per game which ranks 9th in the NFL. They are allowing 106.75 rushing yards per game which ranks 13th in the NFL. They are allowing 262.58 passing yards per game which ranks 24th in the NFL.
New England clinches the division on the road
New England is the better overall team both on offense and defense and has the championship pedigree the Dolphins lack. The Dolphins are 5-1 ATS at home while the Patriots are 3-3 ATS on the road and have struggled to cover in Miami against the Dolphins. I look for the Patriots to clinch the division, but I do look for Miami to get the cover in the game on Sunday. Make sure to bet this match-up on BookMaker.
FREE PICK: Miami Dolphins +8 (buy .5 point) for 3 units