The Square Pigeon’s Pipeline: NFL Week 3
NFL Week 2
The Square Pigeon Pipeline is in its third year here at the Spooky Express. Jason delivers his thoughts and picks on both college football and the NFL each and every week.
This season I’m going to do quick hits of all the games except the Thursday night game.
Each game I’ll give a short synopsis and my picks for the point spread and the over/under.
Bookmaker has the lines for the games this week.
Here’s to four months of happiness!
Indianapolis Colts at Philadelphia Eagles
Carson Wentz is set to start for the first time since week 13 of last season. The Eagles are hoping his return sparks their struggling offense against a Colts team who surprisingly won a game last week. Andrew Luck’s return hasn’t been great so far, and the Eagles’ defense isn’t going to let him get right.
PICK: PHILADELPHIA –6.5 OVER 47.5
Cincinnati Bengals at Carolina Panthers
The Bengals will be without starting running back Joe Mixon this week which is a shame because he has put together a great start to the season. His loss will make it tough for the Bengals to score points with the Cam Newton who looks good in the new Norv Turner offense.
PICK: CAROLINA -3 UNDER 43.5
Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars
At the time of writing, no line has been placed on this game. Marcus Mariota is still battling an injury, and it’s a sizable drop off to Blaine Gabbert. Either way, the Jaguars smash this team on Sunday.
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons
The best division in the NFL shows off its best rivalry this week. Unfortunately, no one told the Saints and Falcons that the regular season started. Both teams look off to start the season. The Falcons offense bounced back against the Panthers last week after struggling during open night. The Saints lost an ugly game to the Bucs week one and then barely beat the Browns last week.
PICK: ATLANTA -3 OVER 54
Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens
Denver is not a good football team this year. They can’t even rely on their defense which has been the strength for years. Derek Carr diced them up all game going 29 of 32 passing. They beat the Raiders last week, but the Ravens defense won’t allow 20 points in the second half.
PICK: BALTIMORE -5 OVER 44.5
New York Giants at Houston Texans
The Giants’ offensive line might be the worst in unit not only this year but for the past decade. They can have all the weapons they want (Beckham, Barkley, Shepard, Engram, etc.), but if they can’t keep their 37-year-old quarterback off of his back, they will continue to struggle. There is no chance they get into a groove against the Texans’ front seven.
PICK: HOUSTON -6 OVER 42
Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins
In both games this season, the Raiders have blown halftime leads. Combined, they have been outscored 43-7 in the second half. Maybe all those old players they signed are a little gassed. Miami is shockingly 2-0, but I wouldn’t get too excited yet. Miami is averaging less than 300 yards of offense per game, and the defense is middle of the road.
PICK: OAKLAND +3 UNDER 44.5
Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins
No line on this game either. Everything that I have read says that Rodgers is playing, so I’m not sure what the holdup is. I’m pretty sure DeShone Kizer could start and the Packers should be the favorite.
Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
The Bills are by far the worst team in the NFL. Josh Allen at least made the offense more watchable, but the rookie isn’t ready to start yet. Kirk Cousins has made Minnesota’s offense much more explosive than last year. Between his performance this year and the return of Dalvin Cook, this might be the best team in the league.
PICK: MINNESOTA -16 OVER 40.5
San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes was one of my favorite players to watch in college football, and I was pretty sure his talents would translate to the NFL. The man is playing off the charts right now, and the 49ers and Jimmy G. haven’t lived up to expectations. There just isn’t enough talent to support an inexperienced starter.
PICK: KANSAS CITY –6.5 UNDER 55.5
Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams
The battle for Los Angeles takes place this week for the first time since the game featured the Rams and Raiders. If it was up to LA’s mayor Eric Garcetti, the Chargers would have moved to a different city. Last year he quipped that the city would have been happy with just the Rams.
PICK: RAMS -7 UNDER 48
Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks
Russell Wilson has been fun to watch play since he arrived in the NFL, so it is sad to watch him struggle with this deflated team. The Seahawks are a shell of their former team. The Cowboys aren’t doing much better as they are struggling with a patchwork offensive line and a bad receiving group.
PICK: DALLAS +1.5 UNDER 41.5
Chicago Bears at Arizona Cardinals
The Bears’ offense under Matt Nagy hasn’t stepped up quite yet, but the defense is more than making up for it. The team looks much more competitive than I expected. Conversely, the Cardinals look way worse than I thought. I’m glad I didn’t get to take David Johnson on any of my fantasy teams.
PICK: CHICAGO –5.5 OVER 38
New England Patriots at Detroit Lions
What is wrong with the Lions? They still can’t run the ball even with an improved offensive line (well, in theory) and the addition of LeGarrette Blount and Kerryon Johnson. I’m really struggling to understand why Johnson hasn’t received more carries since he is averaging 4.6 yards per carry. The Patriots got smacked last week, so there is no way that you lose back-to-back games.
PICK: NEW ENGLAND –6.5 UNDER 54
Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Le’Veon Bell still hasn’t reported, and the offense doesn’t look the same. James Conner has played really good in his place, but he isn’t the game-changing player that Bell is. Jameis Winston better get use to watching games because there is no way you bench Fitzpatrick.