One of the best ways to hold long-term investments with your NFL bets is to place wagers on win totals for the regular season.
By placing bets on win totals, you have multiple teams of interest to follow each week, keeping tabs on their success or shortcomings.
Today, we’ll break down the top five bets for NFL regular season win totals. As a reminder, the NFL regular season has increased by one week, meaning each team will play 17 games.
Minnesota Vikings: Over 9 Wins
The Vikings are an intriguing team in 2021, partly due to the pieces they have but mostly due to their surrounding situation.
The NFC North feels like a bit of a mess. Reports continue to emerge that Aaron Rodgers will not play in Green Bay, meaning the Packers' reign on the division may come to an end. Chicago will eventually transition their offense to rookie Justin Fields, where growing pains can be expected. Lastly, the Detroit Lions remain one of the worst teams in the NFL, offering little resistance in the division.
That leaves Minnesota as the lone team of stability in the NFC North and a solid bet to hit their over of 9 wins. Justin Jefferson, Dalvin Cook, and Adam Thielen combine for one of the most threatening offensive trios in the NFL.
Atlanta Falcons: Under 7½ wins
When Atlanta shipped out star receiver Julio Jones for a few draft picks, it indicated a rebuild and retooling phase for the Falcons.
The Falcons had one of the worst defenses in the NFL last season and felt like multiple pieces away from contention. 2021 is all about integrating Kyle Pitts, the fourth overall pick, into the offense and gearing up for the future. 7½ wins feels generous for a team that went 4-12 last season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Over 11½ wins
A bit boring of a pick, given that Tampa Bay has the second-highest projected wins for the year. Still, it feels like a safe one.
The Buccaneers went 11-5 during the regular season last season and proceeded to win the Super Bowl. Tampa Bay has somehow retained all 22 starters from that 2020 team and is in a good position in a weak NFC South to compete for another Super Bowl.
The Bucs are the favorites to be the top seed in the NFC come playoffs time and should exceed 11½ wins.
Washington Football Team: Over 8½ wins
Washington won the NFC East last season at 7-9, and invested in their offense ahead of the 2021 season.
Ryan Fitzpatrick brings competence to the quarterback position, while the Washington offense has strong skill-position players. The Washington defensive line is elite, while the team plays in a dreadful NFC East. Consider Washington the favorites to win the division and surpass 8½ wins.
Buffalo Bills: Over 11 wins
Buffalo owns an elite offense and a better-than-you-think defense. The Bills went 13-3 last season and seemed well-positioned to make their second-straight AFC Championship Game.
11 wins is a very reasonable bet here.