Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants Prediction & Betting Preview (Oct. 9, 2025)

Prime-time rivalry games rarely need extra juice, but Eagles–Giants on Thursday night (Oct. 9, 2025) brings it anyway: a Philadelphia outfit trying to steady the offense on a short week against a New York team leaning into a dual-threat rookie QB at home. It’s strength vs. volatility, divisional familiarity, and plenty of betting intrigue packed into one MetLife showcase.

Market

Consensus odds (as of Oct. 7): Eagles -7 to -7.5, total 40.5
Injuries:
- PHI RB Saquon Barkley (knee soreness) appeared on the estimated report Monday but is expected to play against his former team. LG Landon Dickerson (ankle) is also on the report
- NYG QB Jaxson Dart (hamstring) cleared to play, per Brian Daboll. WR Darius Slayton (hamstring) and RT Jermaine Eluemunor (back) have been limited

Recaps

Philadelphia (4–1) had a 10-game overall winning streak and a 12-game home streak snapped by Denver in a 21–17 loss, surrendering a 14-point fourth-quarter lead. Jalen Hurts threw for a season-high 280 yards and 2 TD, but he was sacked six times. The slip doesn’t dent the Eagles’ bigger picture much several power rankings still keep them near the top entering Week 6.
New York (1–4) upset the Chargers in Dart’s debut two weeks ago, then coughed up a double-digit lead and fell 26–14 to the Saints on Sunday, turning it over on five straight drives in the second half.

How it likely plays

When Philly has the ball: Expect the Eagles to simplify protections after Denver’s six sacks, leaning on quick game to Smith/Brown and screen work to Barkley to blunt Wink Martindale’s pressure looks (especially if Dickerson is limited). Hurts’ clean turnover profile sets up well against a Giants unit that has struggled to generate consistent takeaways and just allowed two picks to Kool-Aid McKinstry. If Barkley is active and close to normal, his gravity versus linebackers can open in-breakers to Smith.

When New York has the ball: The Giants will try to stress edges with Dart’s legs (designed keepers, zone-read) and hit play-action shots to rookie TE Theo Johnson and the perimeter when Philly rolls an extra body into the box. The problem: sustained drives. New York’s turnover rash and red-zone inconsistency showed up again in New Orleans, and short-week prep against a multiple Fangio defense is a tough draw for a rookie quarterback in start No. 3.

Trench & situational edges: Philly’s front should rebound in pass rush win rate versus a Giants line still shuffling pieces (Eluemunor/back). Sirianni’s group has also been far better scripted than in late-game four-minute spots the last two weeks; in a lower-total environment, early leads are magnified.

Matchup prediction & best bet

Prediction: Eagles 24, Giants 16.
Philadelphia’s pass rush and third-down defense should have the upper hand against a first-year starter on a condensed prep week. Hurts’ turnover avoidance plus Barkley/Smith underneath is enough to string together 4–5 scoring drives even if the explosive pass game is still warming up. New York’s best path is Dart’s legs creating explosives, but sustained execution and staying ahead of the sticks has been the issue. With Slayton dinged and the line still nicked, that’s a lot to solve by Thursday.

Pick: Eagles -7 (look for the flat -7, avoid -7.5) and Under 40.5 (playable to 40). The Under correlates with Philly’s likely approach (protect the QB, lean efficiency), the Giants’ scoring baseline, and a divisional TNF pace profile that tends to compress play volume.