Chicago Blackhawks vs Minnesota Wild Pick – March 19, 2026
Jake Thompson
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Minnesota is firmly ahead in the Central race at 39-18-12 (90 points), while Chicago sits at 25-30-12 (62 points). This is also a quick turnaround spot in the season series after Minnesota’s 4-3 overtime win in Chicago on March 17.
Odds & Game Info
Odds below are from BetAnything. Odds as of 3:40 p.m. ET on March 18, 2026.
| Market | Chicago Blackhawks | Minnesota Wild |
|---|---|---|
| Spread (Puck Line) | +1.5 (-128) | -1.5 (+104) |
| Moneyline | +205 | -255 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (+114) | Under 6.5 (-140) |
Game details and situational notes:
- When: Thursday, March 19, 2026, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul, MN)
- Rest/Travel: Both teams last played Tuesday, March 17 in Chicago (MIN won 4-3 OT). Chicago travels to Saint Paul; Minnesota returns home. Neither team is on a back-to-back.
Projected starting goalies were not confirmed at publish time. Season goalie lines available for this matchup:
- Chicago: Spencer Knight (17-19-9, 2.67 GAA, .907 SV%), Arvid Soderblom (6-10-3, 3.70 GAA, .876 SV%)
- Minnesota: Filip Gustavsson (25-11-6, 2.52 GAA, .911 SV%), Jesper Wallstedt (14-7-6, 2.78 GAA, .912 SV%)
Injury notes (status subject to change):
- Blackhawks: Sacha Boisvert (day-to-day), Oliver Moore (out), Ryan Ellis (IR), Shea Weber (IR-LT)
- Wild: Bobby Brink (day-to-day), Joel Eriksson Ek (out), Marcus Foligno (IR)
Team Records
Here’s a snapshot of each team’s current results profile.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Blackhawks | 25-30-12 | 3-4-3 | 42-25 | 27-38-1 |
| Minnesota Wild | 39-18-12 | 4-4-2 | 35-34 | 37-32 |
Home/road splits:
- Chicago road: 12-15-6
- Minnesota home: 19-9-8
Team Stats
These baseline scoring and special teams rates set the shape of the matchup.
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Blackhawks | 2.61 | 3.16 | 19.2% | 84.5% |
| Minnesota Wild | 3.28 | 2.81 | 25.1% | 79.2% |
Shot volume (per game):
- Chicago: 24.4 shots for, 29.4 shots against
- Minnesota: 29.2 shots for, 29.9 shots against
Recaps
Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago’s recent results have been tight, with overtime showing up repeatedly in the last week.
- Mar 17: vs MIN, L 4-3 (OT)
- Mar 14: at VGK, L 4-0
- Mar 12: at UTA, W 3-2 (OT)
- Mar 9: vs UTA, W 3-2 (OT)
- Mar 8: at DAL, L 4-3 (OT)
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota just saw this opponent two days earlier and needed overtime to get across the line.
- Mar 17: at CHI, W 4-3 (OT)
- Mar 15: vs TOR, L 4-2
- Mar 14: vs NYR, L 4-2
- Mar 12: vs PHI, L 3-2 (SO)
- Mar 10: vs UTA, W 5-0
Matchup Keys
- Shot volume gap: Minnesota generates 29.2 shots per game vs Chicago’s 24.4, which matters against a +1.5 puck line and a 6.5 total.
- Chicago’s scoring floor: The Blackhawks are at 2.61 goals per game, and that makes it harder to win outright when trailing on special teams or 5v5 finishing.
- Special teams clash: Minnesota’s power play is 25.1%, but Chicago’s penalty kill is 84.5%, a strength-on-strength spot that can keep the game from running away.
- Overtime profile: Chicago has gone to OT in 4 of its last 5 games, and Minnesota has seen OT/SO in 3 of its last 5, which often supports tighter margin outcomes.
Betting Trends
- Chicago is 42-25 against the puck line this season.
- Minnesota is 35-34 against the puck line this season.
- Chicago is 27-38-1 on overs/unders this season (under-heavy profile).
- Minnesota is 37-32 on overs/unders this season.
- Chicago is 12-15-6 on the road.
- Minnesota is 19-9-8 at home.
- Chicago is 3-4-3 over its last 10 games.
- Minnesota is 4-4-2 over its last 10 games.
- Chicago averages 24.4 shots for per game, one of the clearest indicators of why its scoring runs cold.
- Minnesota allows 2.81 goals per game, giving it a defensive baseline that pairs well with a 6.5 total.
Best Bet
Under 6.5 (-140).
Chicago’s season profile is built around lower scoring: 2.61 goals per game, plus an over/under record of 27-38-1. Minnesota’s scoring is stronger (3.28), but its goals allowed rate (2.81) and Chicago’s limited shot volume (24.4 per game) help keep the math under 6.5 more often than not. If Minnesota gets average goaltending, Chicago usually needs power-play finishing to reach 3 goals, and its power play is at 19.2% on the season.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Wild 3, Blackhawks 2
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