Stanley Cup Final Game 4 Odds & Prediction: Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers – June 12, 2025
If you’re feeling a little edgy heading into Game 4, you’re not alone. The 2025 Stanley Cup Final has been a glorious mess of highlight-reel goals, bruising hits, and sudden mood swings. For bettors, it’s been equally chaotic—overtime chaos, double-OT drama, and a total rout in Game 3 that flipped the series on its head.
Tonight’s matchup in Sunrise, Florida, isn’t just another game. It’s a turning point. The Florida Panthers are leading the series 2–1 and skating into Game 4 with their teeth bared and their fans frothing. The Edmonton Oilers, meanwhile, are limping in with serious questions particularly in net and a desperate need to slow the bleeding.
The stakes? Monumental. A win tonight gives Florida a 3–1 stranglehold and a chance to close it in five. An Edmonton rebound makes it a best-of-three with home ice back in Alberta. From a betting perspective, this is where sharp eyes and cooler heads can cash in.
Series Recap
Let’s walk it back:
- Game 1 (EDM 4–3 OT): Edmonton came out buzzing and scraped together an overtime win. McDavid looked uncontainable, and though Skinner was shaky, the Oilers escaped with a road heist.
- Game 2 (FLA 5–4 2OT): The Panthers responded with guts and grit. Down multiple times, they clawed back and forced double OT before stealing one of the most emotionally charged wins in franchise history.
- Game 3 (FLA 6–1): The dam broke. Florida crushed Edmonton in every phase. Bobrovsky turned back 28 shots like it was practice, the power play clicked, and the Oilers completely unraveled. Stuart Skinner was pulled, the defense caved, and the Panthers sent a clear message: we’re not just here to win—we’re here to dominate.
Team Betting Profiles & Trends
Florida Panthers
- Record: 47–31–4
- Recent ATS: 4–1 last five
- Home SU Record: 27–12–2
- Over/Under at Home: Slight under lean
- Playoff Home Record: 7–2
- Edge: Discipline, goalie consistency, and physical edge
Edmonton Oilers
- Record: 48–29–5
- ATS Season: 42–59
- Moneyline Underdog Record: 14–10
- Over/Under: 47–52–2
- Edge: Shot volume, offensive upside—but vulnerable on D and in net
Goalie Watch
- Florida: Sergei Bobrovsky (.916 SV%) has found his rhythm. He’s seeing the puck well, tracking rebounds, and staying calm under pressure.
- Edmonton: Stuart Skinner (.894 SV%) was pulled in Game 3. Calvin Pickard might get the call tonight. Either way, it’s not ideal in a must-win game.
Game 4 Betting Odds (June 12)
| Bet Type | Florida Panthers | Edmonton Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | –150 to –155 | +130 to +135 |
| Puck Line | –1.5 (+158) | +1.5 (–200) |
| Total Goals | 6.5 (Over +105) | Under (–125) |
Public money has leaned Edmonton, but the smart bettors are backing Florida especially at home.
Best Bets and Predictions
🔹 Top Play: Over 6.5 Goals (+105)
Every game in this series has flirted with or blown past the 6.5 total. These aren’t two teams parking the bus; they’re trading punches. With both squads averaging over 30 shots per game and Florida firing on all cylinders, this line feels soft. Models give it a ~60% chance of hitting the over again.
🔹 Lean: Florida Moneyline (–150)
The Panthers have covered in 4 of their last 5 and haven’t lost back-to-back games in the playoffs. They’re at home, they have momentum, and they’re healthier in key spots. The line gives them an implied win probability of 60%, which feels about right maybe even a bit low.
🔹 Longer Shot: Panthers –1.5 (+158)
Game 3 wasn’t a fluke it was a warning shot. If the Oilers don’t stabilize in net or get some serious help from special teams, Florida could roll again.