Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Game 6 Pick & Prediction

The Toronto Maple Leafs will make their third attempt to close out their series with the Ottawa Senators. They will meet in Game 6 on Thursday, May 1 at 7:00 PM ET at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. At MyBookie, the Senators are slight favorites with a moneyline at -120.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Leafs are in a do or die situation now, as the momentum shift has tremendously swung in favor of the Senators. The Senators won the first three games, with Game 3 ending in overtime. Then the Leafs lost Game 4 in overtime. However, Game 5 was a shutout with a 4-0 defeat.

If Toronto does not win here, you could make a great argument for the Senators to potentially win Game 7. This is because the way this series has been flipped on its head. From Games 2 to 4, this series looks close on paper. Still, the Senators might have finally figured out how to play against the Maple Leafs after Game 5.

Toronto took 29 shots and had 40 hits, so it was not for the lack of trying on the offensive end. Indeed, they had three power play chances but blew them as well. Crucial easy goal scoring opportunities need to be capitalized on.

The Maple Leafs compiled 3.26 goals a game during the regular season. In this series, that average has come down a little to 3.00 goals a game. While this is solid, their defense has to respond.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Senators have all the momentum in the world and they are playing as if it is their last game ever. This sense of urgency is working for them, as they have scored four goals in each of the last two games. Consequently, these goals have resulted in wins.

Tim Stutzle stood out with a goal and two assists. His goal came in the third period. They had a 1-0 lead heading into the third, but then quickly took over with three additional goals in the final chapter of the game.

Ottawa only took 19 shots in this game, which makes it scary to see how much they could have scored if they kept the pressure on. In Game 3, they only took 21 shots and still found four goals during the game. This could be a slight negative for them moving forward if they cannot find more than 20 shot attempts each game.

The Senators are putting up 2.80 goals a game for this series and averaged 2.95 during the regular season. Therefore, they still need to be as aggressive as possible. They must aim for at least four goals again to have a chance at success. 

Odds, Series Trends, and Free Pick

The best Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators betting odds can be seen through MyBookie, who currently has the Senators as slight favorites. The Senators will have to fire off more than 20 shots to get a good look at scoring four goals again. This is because the Maple Leafs are looking to end this. Look for the Maple Leafs to show a sense of urgency to get it done.

Final Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -105