St Louis Blues vs Carolina Hurricanes Pick – March 12, 2026
Ryan Rozycki
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In the standings, Carolina (41-17-6) is sitting in first in the Metropolitan, while St. Louis (25-29-10) is eighth in the Central and chasing from well outside the playoff pace. The road matchup is also a tough draw for the Blues given Carolina’s home form (24-8-2).
Odds & Game Info
Odds are from BetOnline.
| Spread (Puck Line) | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Hurricanes -1.5 -113 | Blues +1.5 -103 | Blues +232 | Hurricanes -271 | Ov 6 -113 | Un 6 -103 |
| Game time | Arena | Location |
|---|---|---|
| March 12, 2026, 7:00 PM ET | Lenovo Center | Raleigh, NC |
Team Records
Here’s where both teams stand overall and in recent form.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Blues | 25-29-10 | 5-4-1 | 35-29 | 30-32-2 |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 41-17-6 | 8-2-0 | 24-40 | 35-28-1 |
Home/road snapshot: Carolina is 24-8-2 at home; St. Louis is 11-17-3 on the road.
Team Stats
Season-long scoring and special teams profile.
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Blues | 2.63 | 3.33 | 17.1% | 74.3% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 3.49 | 2.86 | 22.5% | 79.4% |
Shots profile: Carolina averages 32.03 shots for per game and allows 24.19; St. Louis averages 25.16 shots for and allows 27.95.
Recaps
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis enters off a 4-3 overtime loss to the Islanders on March 10, getting outshot 49-23 and going 0-for-2 on the power play while allowing 2 power-play goals on 4 kills. Even with a 5-4-1 last-10 record, the shot volume problem is persistent, and it narrows their margin for error when they are not converting on special teams.
In the first meeting with Carolina this season (Jan. 13), the Blues won 3-0, a reminder that their path to an upset often involves winning the goaltending battle and keeping the game at 5v5.
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is coming off a 5-4 shootout win over Pittsburgh on March 10, putting 43 shots on goal and going 1-for-5 on the power play. The Hurricanes’ overall identity still shows up nightly: heavy shot volume, elite shot suppression, and enough finishing to separate even when the opponent hangs around.
At home, Carolina’s baseline is strong: 24-8-2 with a top-tier goals-against profile, which is a major reason the moneyline is priced where it is in this matchup.
Matchup Keys
- Shot volume gap: Hurricanes (32.03 SF/G, 24.19 SA/G) vs. Blues (25.16 SF/G, 27.95 SA/G). That combination puts St. Louis at risk of spending long stretches without the puck.
- Special teams edge to Carolina: Hurricanes PP 22.5% vs. Blues PK 74.3% is a favorable matchup for the home side, especially if St. Louis takes penalties while chasing.
- 5v5 chance quality: Carolina’s 2025-26 5v5 xGF/60 is 3.07; St. Louis is at 2.42. If the game stays mostly at even strength, Carolina still grades as the more dangerous team.
- 5v5 defending: Blues 2025-26 5v5 GA/60 is 2.90, while Carolina’s is 2.28. That’s a meaningful defensive separation before you even get to the shot suppression numbers.
- Rest and travel: Both teams last played March 10. Carolina stays home; St. Louis travels and then immediately turns back for a home game on March 13.
Betting Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis’ last 6 games.
- St. Louis is 4-1 straight up in its last 5 games.
- St. Louis is 3-6 straight up in its last 9 games vs. Carolina.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis’ last 5 road games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis’ last 5 road games at Carolina.
- St. Louis is 1-6 straight up in its last 7 games vs. a Metropolitan Division opponent.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina’s last 7 games.
- Carolina is 8-2 straight up in its last 10 games.
- Carolina is 6-0 straight up in its last 6 home games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina’s last 6 home games vs. St. Louis.
Best Bet
Carolina Hurricanes moneyline (-271).
Carolina’s profile is built for laying a big price: elite shot suppression (24.19 shots allowed per game), strong scoring rate (3.49 goals per game), and a special-teams edge against a St. Louis PK sitting in the mid-70s. The Blues can steal games when their goaltending stands tall, but the combination of low shot generation (25.16 per game) and a poor road record (11-17-3) makes that a thin recipe here. If you are playing the Hurricanes, the biggest risk is always single-game variance in a sport with high OT frequency, so price sensitivity matters.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Hurricanes 4, Blues 3
Injury notes (as of this morning): St. Louis has Torey Krug on injured reserve (ankle) and Robert Thomas listed day-to-day (hand). Colton Parayko has also been listed day-to-day (back). Carolina has Shayne Gostisbehere listed day-to-day (lower body) and Pyotr Kochetkov on injured reserve.
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