Such a close call last week in the PGA Players Championships for the Spooky Express. We had Kyle Stanley at 150/1 but some sports books had Stanley at a much larger price at around 300/1. Stanley was in the lead after the second day and maintained the lead in the 3rd round. When the final day kicked off, Stanley gradually began to fall to a 4th place finish overall.
Si Woo Kim ended up winning the 2017 Players Championship as the youngest winner in the history of the tournament. Congrats to anyone that cashed in on Si Woo Kim! All we can ask for is a long shot with a chance on Sunday and that is what we had last week. No sense crying over spilled milk, we lost, we took it on the chin and now it’s time to bounce back with a winner!
AT&T Byron Nelson Overview
Next up for the pro’s of the PGA is the AT&T Byron Nelson, the golf course that was voted the worst course on tour by an anonymous player poll last March. The AT&T Byron Nelson will be played at Las Colinas Golf Course at TPC Four Seasons for the last time, because next year, they will move to Trinity Forest Golf Club up the road in Dallas, Texas. The AT&T Byron Nelson has been played here 34 previous times, making this the 35th AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Four Seasons.
TPC Four Season Golf Course Details
The TPC Four Season Golf Course is a par 70 course that measures 7166 yards. It is one of the shortest courses the pros will play on all year. TPC Four Seasons opened in 1983 and was originally designed by Jay Morrish with some help from Byron Nelson. In 2007, DA Weibring and Steve Wolford redesigned the course, adding undulating greens, encouraging golfers to use the various slopes on the course to get as close as possible to the pins.
The course has Bermuda grass fairways that are lined with trees and the greens are bentgrass. Did I mention there are trees on this course! When Weibring and Wolford made the changes, they added numerous tree landscapes into the equation. There are a ton of trees for golfers to deal with. There are also quite a few holes that now have ponds that golfers will have to avoid.
Irving, Texas Weather
The one thing this week that concerns me is the weather at TPC Four Seasons. Spring time is always a crap shoot with predicting weather in North Texas. One moment it is beautiful skies and the next you are in the middle of a thunderstorm that makes you think the world is coming to an abrupt halt!
Right now, the forecasters are calling beautiful golf weather on Thursday and Friday but 90 percent chance of thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday. They are calling for winds in the 15-20 MPH range throughout the week but that is par for the course in Texas. It appears that Thursday will be the warmest day of the tournament with temps reaching the 90-degree mark but then we will see a 10-degree difference for the remaining days ahead.
The AT&T Byron Nelson Field
This week, there will be 156 golfers teeing off at the AT&T Byron Nelson. Among those playing will be eight of the last night winners of the AT&T Byron Nelson. The only winner to miss out on playing this week will be Sang Moon Bae because he is currently serving his country in the military.
Sergio Garcia will return this year for another AT&T Byron Nelson. Last year, Sergio Garcia defeated Brooks Koepka in playoff golf. Both shot a -15 under par and it only took 1 playoff round for Garcia to capture his second AT&T Byron Nelson Trophy. Garcia won last year, 2016, and also in 2004. Garcia has made the cut here in 9 of 12 tries and has finished in the top 25 seven times.
The World Golf Rankings #1 golfer Dustin Johnson will be entered in this week’s tournament. Johnson has a great history at TPC Four Season but has yet to win this tournament. We will also see the likes of Jason Day, Jordan Spieth and many of the other top-ranked golfers.
This is another week where we had to increase the system attributes in our form. I usually like to stay within 5 key elements because it is a lot easier to work with but last week it paid off for us with Kyle Stanley being the 2nd best golfer according to our system and finishing 4th in the Players and Francesco Molinari being the 3rd best golfer and finishing 6th in the Players.
This week, our key system attributes are as follows:
Strokes Gained: Tee To Green
Sand Save %
Greens In Regulation
Birdie or Better Percentage
Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
*My first golfer is Louis Oosthuizen at 33/1. Louis is in phenomenal form right now. He has made the cut in all 9 tournaments this year and his last 19 tournaments dating back to the 2016 Open Championship. He has questionable course history missing the cut last year and in 2012 but he finished 11th in 2014 and I simply think this is a different golfer that we are seeing now. Louis has really come into his own and I like him to compete in this tournament.
*My second golfer is Kevin Tway at 55/1. Tway is coming off back to back excellent finishes with a 5th place finish at the Wells Fargo and a 3rd place finish at Valero Texas Open. Tway has only played at TPC Four Season one time back in 2014, in which he missed the cut. Tway gains a lot of ground off the tee and that could fare well for him in this tournament. At 55/1, I think he is the best value on the board.
*My third golfer is Tony Finau at 33/1. Finau has limited but good history at this course with a 12th place finish last year and a 10th place finish in 2015. Finau plays very well at courses in Texas. This year, he placed 3rd at the Valero Texas Open and 34th at the Shell Houston Open. Finau is coming off back to back cuts at the Players Championship and the Zurich Classic so his odds should stay reasonable.
*My fourth golfer is s Gary Woodland at 75/1. First off, how Gary Woodland is 75/1 is beyond me! He has played at TPC Four Seasons 8 times and only missed the cut one time, the very first time he played it. He is decent off the tee and gains a lot of ground with Sand Save %, ranking 3rd among all the pros on the PGA tour. I really like Woodland this week and will use him in all of my DFS lineups across the board and play him flat at 75/1.
*My fifth golfer is Sung Kang at 65/1. You might be scratching your head right about now asking yourself, “Who in the hell is Sung Kang” but please, just hear me out. No one believed me when I talked about Kyle Stanley last week and we see how that panned out, this could be just as good of a play, if not better! Sung Kang or Sunghoon Kang has made 5 straight cuts including last week at the Players Championship finishing with a T30. Kang lives in Texas and is very familiar with this course. If you look back over his course history, it’s not that good, but last year he did make the cut and finished 34th. This year, he has played at 2 tournaments in Texas. He played at the Shell Houston Open and the Valero Texas Open. In both of those tournaments, he finished T6 or better! He was 2nd at the Shell Houston Open and 2nd at the Valero Texas Open! For whatever reason, this guy plays really good at Texas courses and is used to the Texas wind that these golfers will most likely be dealing with all week. Kang is my long shot for this week and I am predicting he will be playing deep into Sunday with a shot at leaving a champion.