Coppa Italia Final Betting Preview: Atalanta vs. Lazio – Wednesday, May 15, 2019
Matchup at a Glance
When: Wednesday, May 15, 2019, at 02:45 PM
Where: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy.
Odds: Atalanta +165, Draw +210, Lazio +162 @ BetOnline
Only 10 days after their Serie A clash, Atalanta and Lazio will meet in the 2019 Coppa Italia Final at Stadio Olimpico in the Italian capital Rome. Even though Lazio can rely on their home advantage, Atalanta's form makes them slight favorites to win the trophy but the bookies don't hesitate to award equal chances to both sides with a possible Atalanta victory rated +165 against +162 for the Roman Eagles.
Atalanta's form has been sensational of late and Gian Piero Gasperini's side can not only finish in the top four of the ongoing Serie A season, which would mark their UEFA Champions League debut, but the Bergamese side are just a step away of winning their first trophy since the 1963 Italian Cup triumph.
Within weeks of inconsistency, Lazio lost their chance to claim one of the top four positions in the Serie A, but amid speculations around his future, Simone Inzaghi has an opportunity to win another trophy (after the 2017 Super Cup) as a manager of The Biancocelesti.
Head-to-Head Stats (H2H)
After two draws (3-3 in Bergamo, 1-1 in Rome) during the 2017-18 Serie A season, Atalanta have won their two games against Lazio this season – 1-0 at home in mid-December, as well as the 3-1 win at Olimpico earlier this month. Duvan Zapata has scored a goal in each of the last two games.
Lazio's last win came in January 2017 – 2-1 at home – which was their third successive victory over The Goddess. At the same time Atalanta have failed to beat Lazio in three consecutive matches, at least not in the last few decades.
Atalanta – Team News
After just a few not so memorable attempts in the UEFA Europa League/UEFA Cup over the years, Atalanta looks ready to take the next step and The Goddess can participate in the Champions League draw next season. First, they need to maintain their top four status in the Serie A in the remaining two rounds, but in the meantime, Atalanta might as well clean the dust of their trophy cabinet if they overcome Lazio on Wednesday.
The upcoming 2019 Coppa Italia Final represents a massive opportunity for the Bergamese outfit who are on the eve of their fourth Coppa Italia final, losing two in a row (1987 and 1996) after the 1963 triumph (3-1 win over Torino, with a hat-trick by Angelo Domenghini).
All impressive results over the course of their campaign, including a 3-0 home win over Juventus in the Coppa Italia quarter-finals, are naturally increasing the confidence of the Nerazzurri and the fact they're the highest scoring Serie A side (having scored 73 goals in 36 games, four more than champions Juventus) should be highlighted as well.
Although Gian Piero Gasperini missed several key players in the weekend, Atalanta swept Genoa aside 2-1, courtesy of Musa Barrow and Timothy Castagne, to continue their march towards that dream Champions League qualification, which was their fifth straight win. Moreover, Atalanta are unbeaten in 13 games (9 wins, 4 draws) following a 2-0 loss at Torino in end of February.
Defenders Andrea Masiello and Gianluca Mancini, as well as playmaker Papu Gomez, were all suspended in the weekend but they should return to the starting squad here, while center-back Rafael Toloi will miss the remainder of the season through injury.
Duvan Zapata failed to score against Genoa but the 28 years old Colombia forward boasts 25 goals and 7 assists in 39 domestic games, with his last goal coming in the 3-1 win at Lazio 10 days ago.
Meanwhile, Musa Barrow scored his first Serie A goal of the season in the weekend, but the Gambian youngster remains a backup option even if he recovers in time to travel to Rome.
Lazio – Team News
After a disappointing end to their 2017-18 Serie A campaign, Lazio eventually finished fifth and the Roman Eagles have missed another chance to claim Champions League football next season, as they remain eighth in this season's standings, seven points behind fourth Atalanta, with only two games in hand.
The only consolation can be found in the 2019 Italian Cup Final where Lazio will be keen to take their revenge against an in form Atalanta side.
The Laziali are six-time winners of the competition (last in 2013), but they have lost their last two finals (2015 and 2017) – both against Juventus.
Not many people would blame you in case you lose to Juventus in Italy, but a home match (the Coppa Italia finals are usually staged at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome, where Lazio and Roma play their home games) against a side that lacks experience in big games such as Atalanta, opens a realistic opportunity for the Biancocelesti.
Joaquin Correa and Luis Alberto gave The Eagles a much-needed 2-1 victory away to Cagliari on Saturday, keeping them in good spirits before the possibly season-deciding final against Atalanta.
First-choice goalkeeper Thomas Strakosha and key midfielder Sergej Milinkovic-Savic have both missed the weekend trip to Sardinia, but they should be fit to start on Wednesday. The latter picked up an injury in the Coppa Italia semi-final against AC Milan a few weeks ago and the talented Serbian midfielder is already back to training.
Jordan Lukaku, Patric and Valon Berisha are out of contention for the Romans, while midfielder Lucas Leiva and top scorer Ciro Immobile (17 goals in 38 domestic games) are both expected to return to the starting lineup. The pair was rested against Cagliari and we will be surprised if Simone Inzaghi has a different opinion.
Possible Starting Lineups of Atalanta and Lazio
Atalanta BC: Pierluigi Gollini – Berat Djimsiti, Jose Luis Palomino, Andrea Masiello – Timothy Castagne, Marten de Roon, Remo Freuler, Robin Gosens – Papu Gomez, Josip Ilicic – Duvan Zapata. (3-4-2-1)
SS Lazio: Thomas Strakosha – Stefan Radu, Francesco Acerbi, Luiz Felipe – Senad Lulic, Lucas Leiva, Luis Alberto, Sergej Milinkovic-Savic, Adam Marusic – Joaquin Correa, Ciro Immobile. (3-5-2)
Even though Atalanta's form suggests the Nerazzurri are strong enough to upset Lazio once again, the Laziali are doing very well in the Cup and they've already knocked out the two Milan clubs (AC Milan and Inter) at San Siro in the past rounds. Besides, Simone Inzaghi's men have more experience in such games and perhaps it's their turn to lift the trophy after the two lost finals to Juventus.
Atalanta are the side that plays attractive, attacking soccer, but it's yet to be seen whether they're ready enough for the crucial games, while Lazio have already experienced a few and sometimes actually defeats are what makes you stronger and mentally improved for major games.
We expect Lazio to prevail at the end – no matter whether the Laziali will win the final in regular, extra time, or even on penalties.