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EPL Betting Preview: Burnley vs. Newcastle United – Saturday, February 29, 2020

by Boris Angelov | February 27, 2020 |

An in-form Burnley (+185 @ Intertops) side travel to face Newcastle United (+155 @ Intertops) at the St. James' Park in the Premier League on Saturday, 29 February 2020. 

The Magpies are winless in their last four Premier League matches and have failed to score in the last three of them. Steve Bruce's men are now 14th in the table and they have the joint-worst attack – scoring just 24 goals in 27 games. 

The Clarets, on the other hand, are on a five-game unbeaten streak, winning four of them, and can move level on points with sixth-placed Tottenham Hotspur and seventh-placed Sheffield United if they win at St James' Park.

Burnley have won their last meeting with Newcastle United in mid-December, with Chris Wood scoring the only goal in a 1-0 victory at Turf Moor. 

Following their last victory, The Clarets are looking to complete a league double over The Magpies for the first time since 1960-61 when Burnley were the reigning First Division champions.

However, Newcastle United have not lost a home league game against Burnley since April 1976, winning three and drawing three since.

Newcastle United Betting Preview 

As a result of their 1-0 loss at Crystal Palace last time out, Newcastle United dropped down to 14th, with 31 points. Steve Bruce's men have managed just one victory in their last nine Premier League games (losing five) and have failed to score in three consecutive Premier League matches for the first time since January 2016.

Even though the Magpies are still seven points off the bottom three, they simply cannot feel safe enough as their recent form has been far from impressive and they have to improve it if they want to avoid a late relegation battle.

Valentino Lazaro, who joined Newcastle United on loan in January, was sent off in the closing seconds of the 1-0 loss at Crystal Palace and is consequently suspended for the coming weekend, so either Matt Ritchie or DeAndre Yedlin should start at right-back.

Javier Manquillo, Jonjo Shelvey and Christian Atsu are all doubtful and will be assessed before kick-off, but Newcastle's boss already has a considerable number of absentees – Jetro Willems, Jack Colback, Paul Dummett, Emil Krafth, Ciaran Clark and Andy Carroll are all injured. 

While some people may question Jonjo Shelvey’s inconsistency and work ethic, his ability can’t be denied and Newcastle’s poor form has coincided with his absence. The 28-years-old English midfielder (5 goals in 15 EPL matches) has not featured since the last-gasp victory against Chelsea on 18 January, and Steve Bruce will hope to have his vice-captain available here. 

And with Dwight Gayle (he came off the bench to replace Miguel Almiron against Crystal Palace) an option to start for Joelinton, the duo that starred in the Championship could give Newcastle a lift in the fierce Premier League race on Saturday.

Having scored only once in 27 Premier League appearances, discussions over striker Joelinton's inclusion in the starting Iineup will become more heated. The 23-years-old Brazilian joined Newcastle United for a reported club record fee of £40 million last summer but his scoring ratio is largely disappointing.

Burnley Betting Preview 

Sean Dyche's men have collected 37 points from 27 games this season – their best record at this stage of a Premier League campaign. They are heading to Newcastle on the back of back-to-back wins over Southampton (2-1 away) and AFC Bournemouth (3-0 home), and another one would see them winning three consecutive Premier League games for the first time since April. 

Furthermore, Burnley have won back-to-back Premier League away games for the first time since April 2018 (when they won three in a row). In fact, The Clarets have won four times on the road in the ongoing Premier League campaign and they have all come in their last seven away games. 

Burnley's top goalscorer Chris Wood (10 goals in 24 EPL matches) has returned to training and could be available for the weekend. However, the Clarets are without injured right-back Matthew Lowton and striker Ashley Barnes (6 goals in 19 EPL games), while winger Johann Berg Gudmondsson could be in contention for his first Premier League appearance since the 2-1 home loss to Aston Villa on New Year's Day. 

Meanwhile, Dwight McNeil is the youngest player to reach 10 Premier League assists since Raheem Sterling in November 2014 and will surely start as the 20-years-old Englishman scored and assisted to become the Man of the Match in the 3-0 win against Bournemouth last Saturday.

Matej Vydra embraced an opportunity as he scored in back-to-back Premier League matches to break a long-lasting goal drought having netted only once in his previous 24 with West Brom, Watford and Burnley combined. The Czech forward last scored in three successive league appearances in November 2017 with Derby County in the EFL Championship. 

Sean Dyche might be tempted to stick with the same side that eased past The Cherries last weekend, with Matej Vydra keeping his starting spot. 

Possible Starting Lineups of Newcastle United and Burnley

Newcastle United: Martin Dubravka – Matt Ritchie, Federico Fernandez, Jamaal Lascelles, Fabian Schar, Danny Rose – Miguel Almiron, Sean Longstaff, Nabil Bentaleb, Allan Saint-Maximin – Joelinton. (5-4-1) 

Burnley: Nick Pope – Charlie Taylor, Ben Mee, James Tarkowski, Phil Bardsley – Dwight McNeil, Jack Cork, Ashley Westwood, Jeff Hendrick – Jay Rodriguez, Matej Vydra. (4-4-2) 

Betting Prediction 

Burnley's boss can be really content with his side's latest efforts as the Clarets have beat the likes of Leicester City, Manchester United, Southampton and Bournemouth, as well as earning a point against an improved Arsenal side. And with upcoming matches against Tottenham Hotspur (home) and Manchester City (away) in the next few weeks, the visit of Newcastle seems to be the best opportunity to add to their tally, and reach the 40-point target which usually guarantees survival in the English top-flight. 

Newcastle United are set for three home matches in their next four Premier League fixtures and the clash against Burnley could be a great starting point for a late season surge. 

Of course, we must also consider that Steve Bruce's men have an upcoming visit to West Bromwich Albion in the FA Cup fifth-round on Tuesday, but the Premier League is their top priority and we expect their strongest possible XI here. 

The home side will be desperate to score and to turn around their form, but Burnley have grown in confidence over the past weeks and this would be quite a challenge for Newcastle's ability. 

Spooky Express Free Pick: Both teams to score – Yes -111 @ Intertops for 6/10 Units

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