English Premier League Betting Preview: Everton vs. Manchester United – Sunday, April 21, 2019
Matchup at a Glance
When: Sunday, April 21, 2019, at 08:30 AM
Where: Goodison Park, Liverpool, England.
Odds: Everton +210, Draw +230, Manchester United +120 @ Intertops
Everton will be keen to bounce back at Goodison Park following the disappointing 2-0 defeat at Fulham last weekend but Marco Silva's men will face a Manchester United side that is in desperate need of points.
After three consecutive wins over strong opponents, keeping a clean sheet in each, Everton surprisingly slipped against an already relegated Fulham at Craven Cottage.
It was probably one of their worst results of the season, especially if you consider the fine form they were in when they went into the game.
However, The Toffees are unbeaten in their last 3 home games since the 0-2 loss to Manchester City on 6 February. More impressively, Everton have kept three consecutive clean sheets in those matches against the likes of Liverpool, Chelsea and Arsenal, beating the two London clubs.
Despite the 4-0 aggregate defeat to Barcelona, which was a kind of a reality check, some Manchester United fans will feel their beloved team overachieved by reaching the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals. Now Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has to find a way to get the recent form turned around as Manchester United remain in the chase for a top-four spot in the Premier League table and a return to the Champions League for next season.
Head-to-Head Stats (H2H)
Jose Mourinho's Manchester United won 2-1 when these two teams met at Old Trafford earlier this season. It was United's third consecutive victory over Everton, with The Toffees failing to beat their opposition in eight competitive encounters (losing six) – since a 3-0 home win in April 2015.
Everton’s only previous Premier League win, and United’s only previous Premier League defeat, on Easter Sunday came in this exact tie during the 2013-14 campaign, when The Evertonians triumphed 2-0.
Meanwhile, Everton lost 36 Premier League matches against Manchester United, more than any side has against another in the history of the competition.
Everton – Team News
The aforementioned defeat to Fulham was a blow to Everton's hopes of getting back into European football next season, but The Blues were not punished by their competitors for a top seven finish.
Leicester City, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Watford all lost their round 34 games which means Everton remain ninth in the Premier League and only a point behind seventh Leicester, which can potentially turn into a Europa League spot if Manchester City beat Wolves in the 2019 FA Cup final.
The blue part of Liverpool must be very much on board with what Marco Silva is trying to achieve with his Everton squad after some great performances at Goodison Park over the last couple of weeks. The victories over other top four contenders (2-0 vs Chelsea, 1-0 vs Arsenal) are respectable but we shouldn't underestimate the goalless draw in the Merseyside derby, which can eventually cost Liverpool the title at the end of the season.
Midfielder Andre Gomes will miss the next three matches after accepting an FA charge of violent conduct following an incident in the 2-0 loss to Fulham. Thus, considering Gomes' absence, Morgan Schneiderlin could be involved in the squad against his former club, unless Marco Silva doesn't plan to use local lad Tom Davies alongside Idrissa Gueye in central midfield.
Colombian defender Yerry Mina is Everton's only absentee through injury, while Michael Keane may get a recall at center-back.
Manchester United – Team News
We doubt that many people were surprised when Manchester United lost at Barcelona in midweek but let's be honest – how many teams are capable to react against the Catalans at Camp Nou, with an inspired Lionel Messi on the field? They were out-classed but that's definitely not the issue here.
Since their dramatic victory over Paris Saint-Germain, The Red Devils have lost five of seven games in all competitions and that includes defeats in their last 4 away matches during which time they have conceded at least twice each time.
Furthermore, United have lost four consecutive away games in all competitions for the first time since October 1999 when they lost to Chelsea, Tottenham Hotspur, Aston Villa and Olympique Marseille in three different competitions and Ole Gunnar Solskjaer was a member of Sir Alex Ferguson’s selection.
Manchester United won just two of their last seven games in all competitions which has seen them knocked out of the Champions League, the FA Cup and seen the top four chase stall a little bit. However, a positive result at Goodison Park would have a significant impact on their morale before a decisive week where United will host to Manchester City and Chelsea within a few days only.
Luke Shaw serves a two-match ban and Ole Gunnar Solskjaer will be pleased to have him back for the Manchester derby on Wednesday but in the meantime, he must choose whether to start veteran Ashley Young or Marcos Rojo at left-back. Young looks favorite to start, unless Solskjaer doesn't plan to refresh his flank, while youngster Diogo Dalot will hope to start at right-back.
Nemanja Matic remained an unused substitute in midweek and the experienced Serb should return to the starting lineup at the expense of either Fred or Scott McTominay here.
Although he has scored five goals and two assists in seven competitive appearances against Everton, Anthony Martial will most likely be replaced by Romelu Lukaku who is eager to end his goal drought against his former club. Meanwhile, Juan Mata could also take Jesse Lingard's place behind the attacking pair.
Ander Herrera, who is expected to leave the club this summer, returned to training as the Spaniard has not featured since the 2-1 home win over Watford in end of March. Eric Bailly is also fit again as the Ivorian center-back has not played for the club since the glorious Paris night in early-March.
In addition to Shaw's suspension, Antonio Valencia and Matteo Darmian are also sidelined for the Red Devils.
Possible Starting Lineups of Everton and Manchester United
Everton: Jordan Pickford – Seamus Coleman, Michael Keane, Kurt Zouma, Lucas Digne – Idrissa Gueye, Tom Davies – Richarlison, Gylfi Sigurdsson, Bernard – Dominic Calvert-Lewin. (4-2-3-1)
Manchester United: David de Gea – Diogo Dalot, Chris Smalling, Victor Lindelof, Ashley Young – Paul Pogba, Nemanja Matic, Scott McTominay – Jesse Lingard – Romelu Lukaku, Marcus Rashford. (4-3-1-2)
The Red Devils are not in great shape, though we would back them to win at Goodison Park. If Manchester United want to be in the title race again, a major overhaul of their squad is needed for the next season and we just don't see how Ole would attract top quality players if the team fails to qualify for the Champions League. They just can't afford to remain out of the top four.
Also, Manchester United have not lost three Premier League away games in a row since January 1996.
Beyond their solid home form lately, Everton are suitable opponents for United's resurrection and they will need a boost before the two derbies next week.